Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

94.8%Illinois

5.2%Rutgers

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -18.5

PROJECTED TOTAL150.6

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -1823

Rutgers

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 85

Projected Total150.6

Projected ScoreRutgers 66

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricRutgers

76.5MMH Power Index45.9

125.0Offensive Efficiency104.2

103.3Defensive Efficiency112.2

21.7Net Efficiency-8.0

6.7Strength of Schedule3.9

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.6

66.5Tempo67.4

54.8%Effective FG%47.4%

13.1%Turnover Rate15.0%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

33.8%Free Throw Rate36.3%

14.5Average Margin-5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–45.9), offensive efficiency (125.0–104.2), defensive efficiency (103.3–112.2), net efficiency (21.7–-8.0).

Rutgers COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (36.3–33.8).

Final

Illinois

73—82

Rutgers

Rutgers by 9 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATRutgers

27-65FG24-59

42.0%FG%41.0%

6-283PT6-16

21.0%3PT%38.0%

13-19FT28-34

68.0%FT%82.0%

41Rebounds40

18Offensive Rebounds16

13Assists12

13Turnovers9

6Steals8

3Blocks5

22Fouls16

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Will Riley	Forward	34	6-16	2-5	4-5	3	6	0	0	18
Ben Humrichous	F	29	5-11	3-8	1-2	5	1	0	0	14
Morez Johnson Jr.	F	22	3-3	0-0	5-6	5	1	0	0	11
Tomislav Ivisic	C	19	4-9	1-5	0-1	7	2	1	3	9
Kasparas Jakucionis	Guard	27	2-8	0-2	3-5	2	2	1	0	7
Kylan Boswell	G	38	3-8	0-3	0-0	10	1	4	0	6
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	21	3-8	0-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Jake Davis	F	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2

Rutgers

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Harper	Guard	34	7-15	3-5	11-12	6	5	4	1	28
Ace Bailey	Guard	36	7-13	0-0	4-4	11	2	0	3	18
Jeremiah Williams	G	25	3-7	0-2	7-8	1	0	2	0	13
Lathan Sommerville	C	18	2-5	0-0	3-4	4	1	0	0	7
Dylan Grant	F	18	2-10	1-6	0-0	7	0	1	1	5
Jamichael Davis	G	27	1-4	0-0	2-4	4	2	1	0	4
Zach Martini	Center	18	1-2	1-2	1-2	0	1	0	0	4
PJ Hayes IV	Guard	4	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Bryce Dortch	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Jordan Derkack	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tyson Acuff	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

106.4Offensive Efficiency119.5

119.5Defensive Efficiency106.4

-13.1Net Efficiency13.1

46.2%Effective FG%45.8%

49.3%True Shooting %54.6%

18.8%Turnover Rate13.2%

29.2%Free Throw Rate57.6%

43.1%3-Point Rate27.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Rutgers won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.