St. John's

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.8%St. John's

62.2%UConn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL147.3

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -165

UConn

34-5

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. John's 72

Projected Total147.3

Projected ScoreUConn 76

Team Comparison

St. John'sMetricUConn

70.3MMH Power Index70.2

114.4Offensive Efficiency116.3

97.6Defensive Efficiency98.4

16.8Net Efficiency17.9

5.5Strength of Schedule6.3

11.4Last 10 Net Efficiency9.4

70.9Tempo66.2

51.3%Effective FG%55.0%

14.3%Turnover Rate16.4%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %35.4%

41.1%Free Throw Rate30.7%

11.9Average Margin11.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–70.2), defensive efficiency (97.6–98.4), recent form (11.4–9.4), ball security (14.3–16.4).

UConn COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.3–114.4), net efficiency (17.9–16.8), strength of schedule (6.3–5.5).

Final

St. John's

68—62

UConn

St. John's by 6 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. John'sTEAM STATUConn

26-65FG20-51

40.0%FG%39.0%

4-213PT8-29

19.0%3PT%28.0%

12-16FT14-22

75.0%FT%64.0%

33Rebounds43

12Offensive Rebounds13

12Assists11

7Turnovers22

9Steals4

2Blocks7

17Fouls17

Player Box Score

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Luis Jr.	Guard	34	10-21	0-6	1-1	7	1	0	0	21
Kadary Richmond	Guard	31	4-12	0-2	4-6	6	6	2	0	12
Zuby Ejiofor	F	37	3-5	0-1	5-6	5	2	1	0	11
Simeon Wilcher	G	29	4-13	2-6	1-2	2	0	1	0	11
Aaron Scott	Guard	33	4-5	1-2	0-0	5	0	2	2	9
Deivon Smith	Guard	25	1-8	1-3	1-1	2	3	2	0	4
Ruben Prey	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Vince Iwuchukwu	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sadiku Ibine Ayo	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jaiden Glover-Toscano	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Liam McNeeley	Forward	29	4-15	2-9	8-10	11	0	1	0	18
Solo Ball	G	38	5-12	3-7	0-0	2	3	0	2	13
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	32	5-7	0-0	2-4	15	0	0	3	12
Jaylin Stewart	F	21	3-6	2-5	1-4	3	0	0	1	9
Samson Johnson	Center	8	1-2	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	1	4
Hassan Diarra	Guard	34	1-2	1-2	0-0	5	3	2	0	3
Alex Karaban	F	27	1-6	0-5	1-2	3	3	1	0	3
Aidan Mahaney	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Jayden Ross	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

98.4Offensive Efficiency89.7

89.7Defensive Efficiency98.4

8.7Net Efficiency-8.7

43.1%Effective FG%47.1%

46.8%True Shooting %50.4%

10.4%Turnover Rate31.2%

24.6%Free Throw Rate43.1%

32.3%3-Point Rate56.9%

1.71Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

St. John's won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.