Alabama

24-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.1%Alabama

61.9%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -4.4

PROJECTED TOTAL180.1

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -162

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama 88

Projected Total180.1

Projected ScoreArkansas 92

Team Comparison

AlabamaMetricArkansas

69.5MMH Power Index69.3

121.6Offensive Efficiency122.2

111.2Defensive Efficiency109.8

10.4Net Efficiency12.4

9.4Strength of Schedule8.6

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

74.7Tempo73.8

54.9%Effective FG%56.4%

13.0%Turnover Rate12.2%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

36.9%Free Throw Rate36.5%

7.7Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (122.2–121.6), defensive efficiency (109.8–111.2), net efficiency (12.4–10.4), shooting efficiency (56.4–54.9).

Alabama COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (69.5–69.3), strength of schedule (9.4–8.6), recent form (9.5–3.4).

Final

Alabama

85—81

Arkansas

Alabama by 4 • 73.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AlabamaTEAM STATArkansas

34-62FG28-65

55.0%FG%43.0%

5-193PT7-20

26.0%3PT%35.0%

12-18FT18-21

67.0%FT%86.0%

35Rebounds32

11Offensive Rebounds13

17Assists15

14Turnovers11

5Steals9

3Blocks7

16Fouls18

Player Box Score

Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chris Youngblood	Guard	31	5-9	2-6	3-5	3	1	0	0	15
Grant Nelson	Forward	28	5-7	0-1	5-6	4	3	0	2	15
Mouhamed Dioubate	F	15	7-9	0-0	0-0	4	2	1	0	14
Mark Sears	Guard	34	5-12	1-4	0-0	3	3	1	0	11
Clifford Omoruyi	Center	22	4-6	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	9
Aden Holloway	G	22	3-7	2-4	0-0	5	4	1	0	8
Aiden Sherrell	F	8	3-4	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	7
Jarin Stevenson	F	22	1-2	0-1	2-3	5	1	1	1	4
Labaron Philon Jr.	G	18	1-6	0-3	0-0	1	3	1	0	2

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	31	10-18	5-9	2-4	7	2	3	3	27
Adou Thiero	Forward	24	8-14	1-1	5-6	6	2	2	0	22
Johnell Davis	Guard	28	4-13	1-5	4-4	3	0	1	0	13
Billy Richmond III	G	26	4-6	0-1	1-1	4	1	2	1	9
D.J. Wagner	G	35	1-6	0-4	6-6	0	9	1	0	8
Trevon Brazile	F	18	1-1	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	2	2
Karter Knox	G	30	0-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	8	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.3Possessions73.3

116.0Offensive Efficiency110.5

110.5Defensive Efficiency116.0

5.5Net Efficiency-5.5

58.9%Effective FG%48.5%

60.2%True Shooting %54.0%

19.0%Turnover Rate15.1%

29.0%Free Throw Rate32.3%

30.6%3-Point Rate30.8%

1.21Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Alabama won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 73.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.