Oregon

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.5%Oregon

94.5%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -19.5

PROJECTED TOTAL146.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -1718

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOregon 64

Projected Total146.9

Projected ScoreMichigan State 83

Team Comparison

OregonMetricMichigan State

48.9MMH Power Index69.8

106.4Offensive Efficiency117.0

110.7Defensive Efficiency101.5

-4.3Net Efficiency15.5

6.0Strength of Schedule7.2

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

66.7Tempo67.3

49.9%Effective FG%54.1%

17.8%Turnover Rate17.2%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

36.9%Free Throw Rate36.6%

-2.9Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–48.9), offensive efficiency (117.0–106.4), defensive efficiency (101.5–110.7), net efficiency (15.5–-4.3).

Oregon COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (36.9–36.6).

Final

Oregon

74—86

Michigan State

Michigan State by 12 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OregonTEAM STATMichigan State

24-61FG27-54

39.0%FG%50.0%

10-273PT8-18

37.0%3PT%44.0%

16-23FT24-27

70.0%FT%89.0%

27Rebounds40

11Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists14

8Turnovers12

6Steals4

4Blocks4

22Fouls21

Player Box Score

Oregon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jackson Shelstad	G	34	7-13	4-8	4-6	3	2	1	0	22
Kwame Evans Jr.	F	16	3-4	1-2	3-3	7	0	0	1	10
TJ Bamba	Guard	28	2-6	0-0	5-7	2	6	2	0	9
Nate Bittle	C	20	3-8	2-4	0-0	1	0	1	1	8
Supreme Cook	Not Available	20	3-5	0-0	1-3	2	1	0	1	7
Brandon Angel	Forward	20	2-7	1-3	1-2	3	0	1	0	6
Keeshawn Barthelemy	Guard	32	1-7	1-5	2-2	0	2	0	0	5
Jadrian Tracey	G	20	2-8	1-5	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Mookie Cook	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Ra'Heim Moss	Guard	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jase Richardson	Guard	35	9-13	3-6	8-9	5	0	0	1	29
Jaxon Kohler	F	31	5-9	1-2	3-3	12	1	0	1	14
Tre Holloman	G	31	4-12	3-7	2-2	2	8	2	0	13
Jaden Akins	Guard	31	4-11	1-3	1-2	1	2	1	0	10
Carson Cooper	C	23	1-2	0-0	7-8	6	2	1	0	9
Szymon Zapala	Center	16	2-2	0-0	2-2	6	0	0	0	6
Frankie Fidler	Forward	17	1-4	0-0	1-1	3	1	0	0	3
Coen Carr	F	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	2
Kur Teng	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

107.4Offensive Efficiency124.8

124.8Defensive Efficiency107.4

-17.4Net Efficiency17.4

47.5%Effective FG%57.4%

51.4%True Shooting %64.3%

11.6%Turnover Rate17.4%

37.7%Free Throw Rate50.0%

44.3%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.