Purdue

30-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.3%Purdue

79.7%Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan -11.0

PROJECTED TOTAL158.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan -393

Michigan

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePurdue 74

Projected Total158.2

Projected ScoreMichigan 85

Team Comparison

PurdueMetricMichigan

73.2MMH Power Index80.9

124.8Offensive Efficiency122.3

107.8Defensive Efficiency97.0

17.0Net Efficiency25.3

7.6Strength of Schedule8.7

11.8Last 10 Net Efficiency17.2

65.4Tempo71.8

57.8%Effective FG%58.8%

13.7%Turnover Rate16.4%

36.2%Offensive Rebound %34.6%

29.1%Free Throw Rate38.9%

11.1Average Margin18.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (80.9–73.2), defensive efficiency (97.0–107.8), net efficiency (25.3–17.0), strength of schedule (8.7–7.6).

Purdue COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (124.8–122.3), ball security (13.7–16.4), offensive rebounding (36.2–34.6).

Final

Purdue

73—75

Michigan

Michigan by 2 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PurdueTEAM STATMichigan

30-69FG25-56

43.0%FG%45.0%

7-203PT7-23

35.0%3PT%30.0%

6-8FT18-26

75.0%FT%69.0%

38Rebounds34

14Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists7

11Turnovers11

7Steals5

1Blocks5

23Fouls13

Player Box Score

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braden Smith	G	40	10-21	4-9	0-0	6	7	0	0	24
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	30	11-19	0-0	0-0	7	2	1	1	22
Fletcher Loyer	G	36	5-11	2-6	3-3	1	0	1	0	15
C.J. Cox	G	27	2-6	1-3	2-2	2	0	1	0	7
Caleb Furst	Forward	26	2-7	0-0	1-2	7	0	2	0	5
Camden Heide	F	17	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Myles Colvin	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	0
Gicarri Harris	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Raleigh Burgess	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-1	0	0	1	0	0

Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Danny Wolf	Center	37	5-11	1-2	4-7	9	2	0	2	15
Roddy Gayle Jr.	G	27	5-10	0-1	4-6	7	2	0	0	14
Tre Donaldson	G	28	4-8	2-3	2-2	3	1	1	1	12
Vladislav Goldin	Not Available	28	3-7	0-1	6-9	5	0	3	1	12
Nimari Burnett	G	26	3-7	3-7	0-0	1	0	1	0	9
Rubin Jones	Guard	28	3-6	0-3	0-0	3	2	0	0	6
Will Tschetter	F	15	2-5	1-4	0-0	4	0	0	1	5
L.J. Cason	G	8	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Justin Pippen	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

106.4Offensive Efficiency109.3

109.3Defensive Efficiency106.4

-2.9Net Efficiency2.9

48.6%Effective FG%50.9%

50.1%True Shooting %54.9%

15.8%Turnover Rate16.3%

11.6%Free Throw Rate46.4%

29.0%3-Point Rate41.1%

0.82Assist / Turnover0.64

Game Summary

Michigan won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.