Iowa State

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

83.0%Iowa State

17.0%UCF

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -10.0

PROJECTED TOTAL155.8

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -488

UCF

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa State 83

Projected Total155.8

Projected ScoreUCF 73

Team Comparison

Iowa StateMetricUCF

75.9MMH Power Index57.1

119.3Offensive Efficiency113.3

96.0Defensive Efficiency110.0

23.3Net Efficiency3.3

4.9Strength of Schedule6.6

17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.8

68.4Tempo71.2

56.1%Effective FG%53.0%

15.0%Turnover Rate16.0%

35.5%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

35.2%Free Throw Rate31.1%

15.9Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–57.1), offensive efficiency (119.3–113.3), defensive efficiency (96.0–110.0), net efficiency (23.3–3.3).

UCF COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.6–4.9).

Final

Iowa State

77—65

UCF

Iowa State by 12 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Iowa StateTEAM STATUCF

27-59FG27-65

46.0%FG%42.0%

7-283PT6-26

25.0%3PT%23.0%

16-21FT5-10

76.0%FT%50.0%

41Rebounds32

11Offensive Rebounds10

17Assists14

11Turnovers9

5Steals7

3Blocks2

14Fouls13

Player Box Score

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keshon Gilbert	Guard	36	6-9	1-2	2-2	7	4	1	0	15
Joshua Jefferson	F	31	4-8	0-2	5-5	8	4	1	1	13
Tamin Lipsey	G	32	2-7	1-6	6-6	4	2	2	0	11
Curtis Jones	Guard	27	4-13	2-9	0-0	6	5	0	0	10
Brandton Chatfield	Forward	16	4-5	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	1	9
Nate Heise	G	21	3-5	2-4	0-0	4	1	0	0	8
Dishon Jackson	C	16	3-5	0-0	2-6	5	0	0	0	8
Milan Momcilovic	F	21	1-7	1-5	0-0	1	1	1	1	3

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keyshawn Hall	F	35	9-15	1-3	3-5	8	1	1	0	22
Mikey Williams	G	28	6-12	2-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	14
Darius Johnson	Guard	34	4-12	3-8	0-0	1	4	3	0	11
Jordan Ivy-Curry	Guard	30	4-12	0-5	0-1	2	1	1	0	8
Moustapha Thiam	C	36	2-6	0-3	2-4	10	3	0	2	6
Tyler Hendricks	G	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Dior Johnson	G	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Dallan Coleman	Guard	16	0-4	0-2	0-0	4	2	2	0	0
Benny Williams	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

111.8Offensive Efficiency94.3

94.3Defensive Efficiency111.8

17.4Net Efficiency-17.4

51.7%Effective FG%46.2%

55.8%True Shooting %46.6%

15.9%Turnover Rate13.1%

35.6%Free Throw Rate15.4%

47.5%3-Point Rate40.0%

1.55Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.