Indiana

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.2%Indiana

85.8%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -12.0

PROJECTED TOTAL150.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -604

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana 69

Projected Total150.4

Projected ScoreMichigan State 81

Team Comparison

IndianaMetricMichigan State

58.2MMH Power Index69.8

116.0Offensive Efficiency117.0

107.1Defensive Efficiency101.5

8.9Net Efficiency15.5

5.2Strength of Schedule7.2

-7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

67.4Tempo67.3

56.0%Effective FG%54.1%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.2%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

35.8%Free Throw Rate36.6%

6.0Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–58.2), offensive efficiency (117.0–116.0), defensive efficiency (101.5–107.1), net efficiency (15.5–8.9).

Indiana COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (56.0–54.1), ball security (15.1–17.2).

Final

Indiana

71—67

Michigan State

Indiana by 4 • 65.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IndianaTEAM STATMichigan State

24-50FG21-55

48.0%FG%38.0%

3-133PT4-23

23.0%3PT%17.0%

20-28FT21-25

71.0%FT%84.0%

31Rebounds36

7Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists15

9Turnovers11

8Steals2

2Blocks4

18Fouls24

Player Box Score

Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Reneau	F	29	8-19	0-0	3-5	12	2	0	1	19
Oumar Ballo	Center	26	6-8	0-0	2-3	10	2	1	0	14
Luke Goode	Forward	36	3-6	2-4	2-2	3	1	4	0	10
Myles Rice	G	36	3-7	1-3	3-5	2	1	1	0	10
Mackenzie Mgbako	F	13	1-4	0-3	5-6	2	0	0	1	7
Trey Galloway	Guard	24	3-6	0-3	0-1	0	1	0	0	6
Bryson Tucker	F	7	0-0	0-0	3-4	0	0	0	0	3
Anthony Leal	Guard	29	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	3	2	0	2

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Akins	Guard	35	6-15	2-9	0-0	3	1	0	0	14
Jase Richardson	Guard	33	5-12	1-6	2-2	6	0	0	1	13
Frankie Fidler	Forward	23	3-5	0-1	6-6	4	1	0	0	12
Tre Holloman	G	22	2-8	0-4	5-6	4	7	0	1	9
Carson Cooper	C	16	1-1	0-0	5-8	6	0	1	0	7
Jaxon Kohler	F	18	2-5	0-0	1-1	7	1	0	1	5
Xavier Booker	F	8	1-4	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Szymon Zapala	Center	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Coen Carr	F	11	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	1	2
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	19	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.6Possessions65.6

108.2Offensive Efficiency102.1

102.1Defensive Efficiency108.2

6.1Net Efficiency-6.1

51.0%Effective FG%41.8%

56.1%True Shooting %50.1%

13.8%Turnover Rate16.7%

56.0%Free Throw Rate45.5%

26.0%3-Point Rate41.8%

1.11Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Indiana won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 65.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.