California

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.5%California

96.5%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -21.8

PROJECTED TOTAL149.9

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -2757

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia 64

Projected Total149.9

Projected ScoreDuke 86

Team Comparison

CaliforniaMetricDuke

56.5MMH Power Index81.7

111.8Offensive Efficiency122.2

104.8Defensive Efficiency95.2

7.0Net Efficiency27.0

2.8Strength of Schedule7.8

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

69.9Tempo66.8

52.6%Effective FG%56.9%

14.9%Turnover Rate15.9%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

36.8%Free Throw Rate39.0%

4.9Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–56.5), offensive efficiency (122.2–111.8), defensive efficiency (95.2–104.8), net efficiency (27.0–7.0).

California COUNTERS WITHball security (14.9–15.9).

Final

California

57—78

Duke

Duke by 21 • 65.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CaliforniaTEAM STATDuke

20-57FG27-58

35.0%FG%47.0%

7-233PT9-25

30.0%3PT%36.0%

10-15FT15-19

67.0%FT%79.0%

31Rebounds43

9Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists12

11Turnovers10

6Steals6

5Blocks1

16Fouls19

Player Box Score

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremiah Wilkinson	G	35	8-17	4-8	1-1	1	3	1	0	21
Rytis Petraitis	F	28	3-4	2-3	3-4	6	1	1	0	11
Andrej Stojakovic	G	30	4-14	0-2	2-2	4	2	0	1	10
Mady Sissoko	Center	23	3-6	0-0	1-4	3	0	0	2	7
Jovan Blacksher Jr.	Guard	31	2-10	1-6	0-0	5	3	1	0	5
Lee Dort	F	16	0-0	0-0	3-4	0	0	2	2	3
DeJuan Campbell	G	17	0-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Joshua Ola-Joseph	F	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	7	0	0	0	0
Christian Tucker	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Spencer Mahoney	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Matt Desler	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Jayden Karapetian	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jack McCloskey	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cooper Flagg	Forward	29	8-14	2-4	9-9	5	3	3	0	27
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	29	7-15	3-6	1-2	3	1	2	0	18
Khaman Maluach	Center	22	4-8	1-2	1-4	12	3	0	1	10
Sion James	Guard	27	2-4	2-3	2-2	9	3	0	0	8
Kon Knueppel	Guard	28	3-8	0-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
Patrick Ngongba II	C	6	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Mason Gillis	Forward	15	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Caleb Foster	G	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Isaiah Evans	G	18	0-4	0-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Maliq Brown	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Darren Harris	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.6Possessions65.6

86.9Offensive Efficiency118.9

118.9Defensive Efficiency86.9

-32.0Net Efficiency32.0

41.2%Effective FG%54.3%

44.4%True Shooting %58.2%

16.6%Turnover Rate15.4%

26.3%Free Throw Rate32.8%

40.4%3-Point Rate43.1%

0.82Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Duke won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 65.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.