St. John's

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

66.9%St. John's

33.1%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -202

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. John's 78

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreVillanova 74

Team Comparison

St. John'sMetricVillanova

70.3MMH Power Index59.4

114.4Offensive Efficiency114.7

97.6Defensive Efficiency105.9

16.8Net Efficiency8.8

5.5Strength of Schedule4.4

11.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

70.9Tempo67.3

51.3%Effective FG%53.9%

14.3%Turnover Rate15.0%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

41.1%Free Throw Rate31.4%

11.9Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–59.4), defensive efficiency (97.6–105.9), net efficiency (16.8–8.8), strength of schedule (5.5–4.4).

Villanova COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.7–114.4), shooting efficiency (53.9–51.3).

Final

St. John's

71—73

Villanova

Villanova by 2 • 61.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. John'sTEAM STATVillanova

27-61FG26-49

44.0%FG%53.0%

11-373PT11-24

30.0%3PT%46.0%

6-10FT10-13

60.0%FT%77.0%

33Rebounds27

15Offensive Rebounds7

19Assists16

13Turnovers11

8Steals10

2Blocks1

14Fouls13

Player Box Score

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aaron Scott	Guard	32	8-16	5-13	1-2	2	2	2	0	22
Kadary Richmond	Guard	39	7-10	0-1	3-4	5	10	2	1	17
Simeon Wilcher	G	37	4-11	3-9	1-2	2	2	2	0	12
RJ Luis Jr.	Guard	30	5-13	1-5	1-2	8	2	0	0	12
Sadiku Ibine Ayo	F	9	1-3	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Lefteris Liotopoulos	G	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Zuby Ejiofor	F	36	1-4	0-2	0-0	4	3	1	0	2
Ruben Prey	F	9	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	0	1	1	0
Vince Iwuchukwu	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jaiden Glover-Toscano	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Wooga Poplar	Guard	33	9-14	2-4	2-2	6	2	4	0	22
Eric Dixon	Forward	36	5-17	3-10	4-7	4	4	0	0	17
Jordan Longino	Guard	36	4-5	1-2	4-4	1	2	1	0	13
Tyler Perkins	G	29	4-5	4-5	0-0	3	3	2	0	12
Jhamir Brickus	Guard	33	2-5	1-3	0-0	1	5	3	0	5
Enoch Boakye	Forward	29	2-3	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	1	4
Josiah Moseley	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jordann Dumont	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.5Possessions61.5

115.4Offensive Efficiency118.7

118.7Defensive Efficiency115.4

-3.3Net Efficiency3.3

53.3%Effective FG%64.3%

54.0%True Shooting %66.2%

20.4%Turnover Rate18.6%

16.4%Free Throw Rate26.5%

60.7%3-Point Rate49.0%

1.46Assist / Turnover1.45

Game Summary

Villanova won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 61.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.