Arizona State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.4%Arizona State

89.6%Texas Tech

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas Tech -15.1

PROJECTED TOTAL156.9

MODEL MONEYLINETexas Tech -862

Texas Tech

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona State 71

Projected Total156.9

Projected ScoreTexas Tech 86

Team Comparison

Arizona StateMetricTexas Tech

51MMH Power Index65.8

108.1Offensive Efficiency117.8

110.9Defensive Efficiency107.2

-2.8Net Efficiency10.6

7.0Strength of Schedule9.4

-7.5Last 10 Net Efficiency0.9

70.6Tempo68.1

51.3%Effective FG%56.4%

17.1%Turnover Rate15.8%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

40.2%Free Throw Rate28.2%

-1.9Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas Tech HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas Tech holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.8–51.0), offensive efficiency (117.8–108.1), defensive efficiency (107.2–110.9), net efficiency (10.6–-2.8).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (40.2–28.2).

Final

Arizona State

106—111

Texas Tech

Texas Tech by 5 • 86.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arizona StateTEAM STATTexas Tech

40-72FG39-68

56.0%FG%57.0%

13-273PT10-26

48.0%3PT%38.0%

13-16FT23-32

81.0%FT%72.0%

27Rebounds38

5Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists21

12Turnovers14

11Steals9

2Blocks2

23Fouls13

Player Box Score

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adam Miller	G	43	10-17	2-6	0-0	4	3	1	0	22
BJ Freeman	Guard	45	8-17	2-4	3-4	0	3	3	0	21
Amier Ali	G	34	6-7	4-5	2-2	7	1	2	0	18
Alston Mason	Guard	46	6-10	3-6	1-1	1	6	2	0	16
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	25	7-9	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	1	15
Joson Sanon	G	29	2-4	1-1	3-3	4	1	1	0	8
Basheer Jihad	Forward	28	1-8	1-5	3-4	2	2	2	1	6

Texas Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JT Toppin	F	44	17-22	1-1	6-11	15	1	3	2	41
Darrion Williams	F	44	10-18	2-4	5-6	5	2	1	0	27
Chance McMillian	Guard	49	3-5	1-3	7-7	4	3	1	0	14
Kerwin Walton	Guard	25	5-9	3-6	0-0	1	1	1	0	13
Christian Anderson	G	37	3-7	2-6	2-4	3	5	3	0	10
Elijah Hawkins	Guard	36	1-6	1-5	1-2	6	8	0	0	4
Kevin Overton	G	7	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	1	0	0	2
Federiko Federiko	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

86.4Possessions86.4

122.7Offensive Efficiency128.5

128.5Defensive Efficiency122.7

-5.8Net Efficiency5.8

64.6%Effective FG%64.7%

66.6%True Shooting %66.7%

13.9%Turnover Rate16.2%

22.2%Free Throw Rate47.1%

37.5%3-Point Rate38.2%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Texas Tech won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 86.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.