Mount St. Mary's

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.2%Mount St. Mary's

43.8%Niagara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMount St. Mary's -1.0

PROJECTED TOTAL135.5

MODEL MONEYLINEMount St. Mary's -128

Niagara

8-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMount St. Mary's 68

Projected Total135.5

Projected ScoreNiagara 67

Team Comparison

Mount St. Mary'sMetricNiagara

42.6MMH Power Index35.8

100.2Offensive Efficiency100.8

103.2Defensive Efficiency112.4

-3.0Net Efficiency-11.6

-3.1Strength of Schedule-0.8

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.6

67.9Tempo63.4

51.0%Effective FG%50.9%

22.4%Turnover Rate18.8%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

33.3%Free Throw Rate27.3%

-2.1Average Margin-7.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mount St. Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMount St. Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.6–35.8), defensive efficiency (103.2–112.4), net efficiency (-3.0–-11.6), recent form (6.4–-5.6).

Niagara COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (100.8–100.2), strength of schedule (-0.8–-3.1), ball security (18.8–22.4).

Final

Mount St. Mary's

84—83

Niagara

Mount St. Mary's by 1 • 70.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mount St. Mary'sTEAM STATNiagara

31-54FG26-55

57.0%FG%47.0%

7-133PT11-25

54.0%3PT%44.0%

15-21FT20-26

71.0%FT%77.0%

34Rebounds25

10Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists14

16Turnovers11

7Steals6

2Blocks—

21Fouls16

Player Box Score

Mount St. Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dallas Hobbs	G	30	7-13	2-3	5-6	3	3	1	0	21
Jedy Cordilia	Forward	30	5-9	0-1	3-4	7	1	0	0	13
Carmelo Pacheco	G	26	4-5	3-4	2-3	0	0	0	0	13
Terrell Ard Jr.	Forward	20	6-8	0-0	1-3	7	3	1	1	13
Xavier Lipscomb	G	32	4-6	1-3	2-3	2	0	1	0	11
Dola Adebayo	F	26	3-6	0-0	2-2	6	1	1	1	8
Javon Ervin	Guard	8	1-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Abdou Khadre Kébé	G	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Arlandus Keyes	G	18	0-3	0-1	0-0	7	3	3	0	0

Niagara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Olumide Adelodun	Forward	32	8-14	5-10	5-5	6	2	3	26
Jaeden Marshall	G	31	4-11	2-5	1-4	2	1	0	11
Jhaylon Martinez	Center	24	3-6	0-0	5-5	8	3	0	11
Josiah Davis	G	28	2-5	0-1	6-8	2	3	1	10
Zion Russell	G	28	3-6	1-3	2-2	1	1	1	9
Justin Page	G	19	2-4	2-3	0-0	1	3	0	6
Will Shortt	F	16	2-5	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	4
Jahari Williamson	G	13	1-2	0-1	1-2	0	0	1	3
Damondre McKnight	Guard	9	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

70.2Possessions70.2

119.7Offensive Efficiency118.2

118.2Defensive Efficiency119.7

1.4Net Efficiency-1.4

63.9%Effective FG%57.3%

65.7%True Shooting %61.6%

22.9%Turnover Rate15.6%

38.9%Free Throw Rate47.3%

24.1%3-Point Rate45.5%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Mount St. Mary's won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 70.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.