Pennsylvania

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.0%Pennsylvania

87.0%Yale

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADYale -13.1

PROJECTED TOTAL150.2

MODEL MONEYLINEYale -669

Yale

23-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePennsylvania 69

Projected Total150.2

Projected ScoreYale 82

Team Comparison

PennsylvaniaMetricYale

52.9MMH Power Index65.4

108.6Offensive Efficiency121.4

106.4Defensive Efficiency105.8

2.2Net Efficiency15.6

1.9Strength of Schedule1.6

2.3Last 10 Net Efficiency8.9

69.9Tempo64.5

50.9%Effective FG%56.8%

15.4%Turnover Rate13.9%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %33.3%

36.3%Free Throw Rate34.4%

1.5Average Margin10.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Yale HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMYale holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.4–52.9), offensive efficiency (121.4–108.6), defensive efficiency (105.8–106.4), net efficiency (15.6–2.2).

Pennsylvania COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.9–1.6), free throw rate (36.3–34.4).

Final

Pennsylvania

71—72

Yale

Yale by 1 • 63.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PennsylvaniaTEAM STATYale

28-61FG30-63

46.0%FG%48.0%

11-303PT3-16

37.0%3PT%19.0%

4-5FT9-14

80.0%FT%64.0%

38Rebounds32

12Offensive Rebounds10

20Assists12

12Turnovers3

3Steals7

3Blocks4

11Fouls8

Player Box Score

Pennsylvania

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sam Brown	G	35	9-16	4-8	1-2	2	3	1	1	23
Ethan Roberts	F	29	4-11	2-7	0-0	5	1	0	0	10
Niklas Polonowski	F	15	3-7	3-7	0-0	2	1	0	0	9
Nick Spinoso	Forward	29	4-10	0-1	0-0	7	4	1	2	8
AJ Levine	G	36	1-6	1-3	2-2	8	5	0	0	5
George Smith	Guard	15	2-5	0-3	1-1	2	0	0	0	5
Augustus Gerhart	F	22	2-3	0-0	0-0	5	4	1	0	4
Michelangelo Oberti	C	15	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	4
Dylan Williams	G	4	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3

Yale

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bez Mbeng	Guard	36	7-15	3-5	1-2	4	2	1	0	18
Nick Townsend	F	33	5-9	0-1	1-2	4	4	0	0	11
Casey Simmons	G	33	5-10	0-1	1-2	7	1	0	1	11
Samson Aletan	C	21	4-4	0-0	3-3	5	0	1	2	11
John Poulakidas	Guard	30	4-15	0-6	2-3	0	1	1	0	10
Isaac Celiscar	F	20	4-5	0-0	1-2	5	2	3	0	9
Trevor Mullin	G	4	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Riley Fox	F	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Jordan Brathwaite	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Jack Molloy	Forward	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.1Possessions63.1

112.5Offensive Efficiency114.1

114.1Defensive Efficiency112.5

-1.6Net Efficiency1.6

54.9%Effective FG%50.0%

56.0%True Shooting %51.7%

18.9%Turnover Rate4.8%

8.2%Free Throw Rate22.2%

49.2%3-Point Rate25.4%

1.67Assist / Turnover4.00

Game Summary

Yale won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 63.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.