Fairfield

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.5%Fairfield

55.5%Saint Peter's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Peter's -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL142.6

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Peter's -125

Saint Peter's

17-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFairfield 70

Projected Total142.6

Projected ScoreSaint Peter's 73

Team Comparison

FairfieldMetricSaint Peter's

50.1MMH Power Index47.5

109.6Offensive Efficiency106.6

105.4Defensive Efficiency103.0

4.2Net Efficiency3.6

-3.4Strength of Schedule-3.8

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.5

67.8Tempo66.4

49.1%Effective FG%47.6%

15.0%Turnover Rate17.5%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %36.8%

28.4%Free Throw Rate36.6%

2.8Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fairfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFairfield holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–47.5), offensive efficiency (109.6–106.6), net efficiency (4.2–3.6), strength of schedule (-3.4–-3.8).

Saint Peter's COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.0–105.4), offensive rebounding (36.8–36.0), free throw rate (36.6–28.4).

Final

Fairfield

52—65

Saint Peter's

Saint Peter's by 13 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

FairfieldTEAM STATSaint Peter's

18-55FG17-47

33.0%FG%36.0%

5-223PT4-17

23.0%3PT%24.0%

11-18FT27-32

61.0%FT%84.0%

28Rebounds44

7Offensive Rebounds11

8Assists5

9Turnovers15

8Steals4

4Blocks7

21Fouls17

Player Box Score

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kyle Jenkins	Forward	27	4-8	2-4	2-4	2	0	1	0	12
Jamie Bergens	Guard	33	4-10	1-5	2-3	1	1	0	1	11
Braden Sparks	G	30	3-7	2-6	3-4	3	2	2	0	11
Prophet Johnson	G	37	4-12	0-2	1-2	10	3	3	0	9
Louis Bleechmore	Guard	16	1-3	0-2	2-3	4	1	0	0	4
Peyton Smith	F	16	1-8	0-1	1-2	4	0	1	1	3
Isaac Munkadi	F	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2	2
Deon Perry	Guard	14	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Makuei Riek	Guard	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Michael Rogan	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Birima Seck	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Saint Peter's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Armoni Zeigler	G	18	4-5	0-0	6-7	6	0	0	0	14
Marcus Randolph	Guard	37	2-12	1-5	8-8	3	1	2	0	13
Bryce Eaton	G	26	3-9	1-4	6-6	3	0	0	0	13
Mouhamed Sow	F	31	2-4	0-1	2-3	5	0	1	1	6
Zaakir Williamson	F	12	2-5	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	3	5
Stephon Roberts	Forward	36	0-1	0-0	4-6	10	2	0	2	4
Tyreck Morris	Guard	10	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Adetokunbo Bakare	G	10	1-3	1-3	1-2	6	1	0	1	4
Eric Morgan Jr.	G	20	1-4	0-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

78.9Offensive Efficiency98.6

98.6Defensive Efficiency78.9

-19.7Net Efficiency19.7

37.3%Effective FG%40.4%

40.9%True Shooting %52.3%

13.7%Turnover Rate22.7%

32.7%Free Throw Rate68.1%

40.0%3-Point Rate36.2%

0.89Assist / Turnover0.33

Game Summary

Saint Peter's won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.