Marist

19-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.6%Marist

69.4%Siena

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSiena -5.1

PROJECTED TOTAL133.2

MODEL MONEYLINESiena -227

Siena

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMarist 64

Projected Total133.2

Projected ScoreSiena 69

Team Comparison

MaristMetricSiena

51MMH Power Index53.8

104.3Offensive Efficiency109.2

95.6Defensive Efficiency102.2

8.7Net Efficiency7.0

-3.2Strength of Schedule-0.5

2.9Last 10 Net Efficiency3.0

66.8Tempo64.4

49.9%Effective FG%50.7%

16.8%Turnover Rate15.8%

29.4%Offensive Rebound %31.4%

26.1%Free Throw Rate34.9%

5.8Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Siena HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSiena holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.8–51.0), offensive efficiency (109.2–104.3), strength of schedule (-0.5–-3.2), recent form (3.0–2.9).

Marist COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (95.6–102.2), net efficiency (8.7–7.0), average scoring margin (5.8–4.5).

Final

Marist

65—64

Siena

Marist by 1 • 63.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MaristTEAM STATSiena

25-57FG19-53

44.0%FG%36.0%

6-193PT4-17

32.0%3PT%24.0%

9-12FT22-35

75.0%FT%63.0%

40Rebounds33

9Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists4

10Turnovers3

2Steals5

1Blocks1

23Fouls13

Player Box Score

Marist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Lewis	G	28	5-10	2-4	2-2	3	1	0	0	14
Josh Pascarelli	G	37	3-11	3-5	3-3	1	2	0	0	12
Jadin Collins-Roberts	G	28	4-6	0-2	0-0	3	4	0	0	8
Tarik Watson	C	26	4-8	0-0	0-2	6	1	0	0	8
Trace Salton	F	19	2-3	0-1	2-2	7	0	1	1	6
Jaden Daughtry	F	17	3-4	0-0	0-1	13	1	0	0	6
Martin Kawa	G	9	2-6	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Caleb Mackrey	Guard	7	1-4	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Travis Roberts	SG	12	0-1	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Parby Kabamba	F	3	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Jason Schofield	C	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Matt McCool	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Siena

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gavin Doty	G	40	6-17	0-6	8-12	7	0	2	0	20
Major Freeman	G	40	6-10	2-3	2-5	4	1	0	0	16
Justice Shoats	G	40	5-17	1-2	5-7	4	3	3	0	16
Brendan Coyle	F	31	0-2	0-2	6-9	3	0	0	0	6
Devin Brafford	F	13	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Myles Wilmoth	F	22	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	2
Tajae Jones	F	14	0-2	0-1	1-2	5	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

63.7Possessions63.7

102.0Offensive Efficiency100.5

100.5Defensive Efficiency102.0

1.6Net Efficiency-1.6

49.1%Effective FG%39.6%

51.8%True Shooting %46.0%

15.7%Turnover Rate4.7%

21.1%Free Throw Rate66.0%

33.3%3-Point Rate32.1%

1.10Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Marist won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 63.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.