Auburn

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.4%Auburn

74.6%Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL174.2

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama -294

Alabama

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAuburn 83

Projected Total174.2

Projected ScoreAlabama 91

Team Comparison

AuburnMetricAlabama

64.4MMH Power Index69.5

118.8Offensive Efficiency121.6

113.0Defensive Efficiency111.2

5.8Net Efficiency10.4

7.5Strength of Schedule9.4

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

69.8Tempo74.7

53.1%Effective FG%54.9%

14.5%Turnover Rate13.0%

36.5%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

43.8%Free Throw Rate36.9%

4.1Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.5–64.4), offensive efficiency (121.6–118.8), defensive efficiency (111.2–113.0), net efficiency (10.4–5.8).

Auburn COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (36.5–32.1), free throw rate (43.8–36.9).

Final

Auburn

94—85

Alabama

Auburn by 9 • 78.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AuburnTEAM STATAlabama

30-65FG27-70

46.0%FG%39.0%

12-303PT5-26

40.0%3PT%19.0%

22-32FT26-35

69.0%FT%74.0%

40Rebounds49

7Offensive Rebounds14

13Assists9

4Turnovers7

3Steals1

6Blocks3

24Fouls22

Player Box Score

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johni Broome	Forward	33	7-16	2-4	3-9	14	6	1	2	19
Denver Jones	Guard	31	5-9	3-5	3-3	1	0	0	1	16
Miles Kelly	Guard	32	3-9	2-6	7-8	8	2	0	0	15
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	24	4-7	2-3	5-5	5	3	1	1	15
Chaney Johnson	Forward	33	5-10	2-4	2-2	5	1	0	1	14
Tahaad Pettiford	G	23	5-10	1-5	2-3	1	0	0	0	13
Dylan Cardwell	Center	12	1-1	0-0	0-2	3	1	0	0	2
Chris Moore	Forward	9	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	1	1	0
Ja'Heim Hudson	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jahki Howard	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Sears	Guard	31	4-17	2-11	8-11	1	3	0	0	18
Grant Nelson	Forward	30	5-11	0-1	2-2	12	1	0	1	12
Labaron Philon Jr.	G	23	3-6	0-1	4-5	3	2	1	0	10
Aden Holloway	G	16	3-8	1-4	3-4	0	1	0	0	10
Chris Youngblood	Guard	29	2-6	1-3	3-4	2	0	0	0	8
Clifford Omoruyi	Center	25	3-5	0-1	2-3	12	1	0	0	8
Mouhamed Dioubate	F	21	4-10	0-1	0-2	7	1	0	2	8
Jarin Stevenson	F	20	3-6	1-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	7
Derrion Reid	F	5	0-1	0-1	4-4	0	0	0	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

78.4Possessions78.4

119.9Offensive Efficiency108.4

108.4Defensive Efficiency119.9

11.5Net Efficiency-11.5

55.4%Effective FG%42.1%

58.6%True Shooting %49.1%

5.2%Turnover Rate8.8%

49.2%Free Throw Rate50.0%

46.2%3-Point Rate37.1%

3.25Assist / Turnover1.29

Game Summary

Auburn won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 78.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.