Stanford

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.7%Stanford

95.3%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -21.0

PROJECTED TOTAL148.4

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -2028

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreStanford 64

Projected Total148.4

Projected ScoreDuke 85

Team Comparison

StanfordMetricDuke

59.2MMH Power Index81.7

111.6Offensive Efficiency122.2

107.1Defensive Efficiency95.2

4.5Net Efficiency27.0

5.2Strength of Schedule7.8

7.4Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

68.1Tempo66.8

51.9%Effective FG%56.9%

15.5%Turnover Rate15.9%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

37.2%Free Throw Rate39.0%

3.0Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–59.2), offensive efficiency (122.2–111.6), defensive efficiency (95.2–107.1), net efficiency (27.0–4.5).

Stanford COUNTERS WITHball security (15.5–15.9).

Final

Stanford

70—106

Duke

Duke by 36 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

StanfordTEAM STATDuke

24-63FG40-64

38.0%FG%63.0%

12-293PT14-29

41.0%3PT%48.0%

10-13FT12-13

77.0%FT%92.0%

29Rebounds37

13Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists23

10Turnovers5

4Steals8

—Blocks1

14Fouls12

Player Box Score

Stanford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Maxime Raynaud	Forward	32	7-21	4-9	1-3	7	0	0	19
Oziyah Sellers	G	29	4-8	1-3	2-2	4	3	0	11
Donavin Young	F	24	4-6	2-3	0-0	4	0	0	10
Benny Gealer	G	25	3-6	3-5	0-0	2	5	0	9
Ryan Agarwal	G	18	3-6	1-2	2-2	4	1	2	9
Chisom Okpara	F	10	1-3	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	4
Evan Stinson	F	11	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	3
Tallis Toure	F	7	0-0	0-0	3-4	1	1	1	3
Jaylen Blakes	Guard	28	1-10	0-4	0-0	2	2	1	2
Cole Kastner	Forward	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Aidan Cammann	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Jaylen Thompson	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Anthony Batson Jr.	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	29	9-13	5-8	0-0	2	4	1	0	23
Cooper Flagg	Forward	28	7-13	3-6	2-2	5	6	2	0	19
Khaman Maluach	Center	21	8-9	0-1	1-1	6	0	0	1	17
Sion James	Guard	29	3-3	1-1	7-8	2	6	1	0	14
Caleb Foster	G	6	4-6	2-3	0-0	3	0	1	0	10
Kon Knueppel	Guard	30	3-7	1-3	2-2	4	2	2	0	9
Maliq Brown	F	16	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	3	0	0	3
Mason Gillis	Forward	13	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Isaiah Evans	G	11	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Patrick Ngongba II	C	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Darren Harris	G	6	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Neal Begovich	Forward	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Cameron Sheffield	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

105.7Offensive Efficiency160.1

160.1Defensive Efficiency105.7

-54.4Net Efficiency54.4

47.6%Effective FG%73.4%

50.6%True Shooting %75.5%

15.1%Turnover Rate7.6%

20.6%Free Throw Rate20.3%

46.0%3-Point Rate45.3%

1.20Assist / Turnover4.60

Game Summary

Duke won by 36 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.