Houston

29-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.0%Houston

72.0%Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona -7.2

PROJECTED TOTAL149.0

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona -257

Arizona

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHouston 71

Projected Total149.0

Projected ScoreArizona 78

Team Comparison

HoustonMetricArizona

76MMH Power Index79.9

118.4Offensive Efficiency120.3

95.9Defensive Efficiency96.9

22.5Net Efficiency23.4

5.9Strength of Schedule8.0

18.9Last 10 Net Efficiency17.0

65.2Tempo71.6

52.3%Effective FG%55.0%

12.9%Turnover Rate15.1%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %37.8%

26.9%Free Throw Rate45.3%

14.7Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (79.9–76.0), offensive efficiency (120.3–118.4), net efficiency (23.4–22.5), strength of schedule (8.0–5.9).

Houston COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (95.9–96.9), recent form (18.9–17.0), ball security (12.9–15.1).

Final

Houston

62—58

Arizona

Houston by 4 • 62.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

HoustonTEAM STATArizona

25-58FG20-54

43.0%FG%37.0%

5-173PT5-23

29.0%3PT%22.0%

7-9FT13-17

78.0%FT%76.0%

30Rebounds39

6Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists14

7Turnovers11

7Steals3

3Blocks4

13Fouls11

Player Box Score

Houston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Milos Uzan	G	38	8-12	1-1	2-2	2	5	2	0	19
L.J. Cryer	Guard	35	6-12	3-8	0-0	1	2	0	0	15
J'Wan Roberts	Forward	35	3-11	0-0	3-5	4	3	0	0	9
Joseph Tugler	F	22	4-7	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	1	8
Terrance Arceneaux	G	27	2-4	1-2	2-2	2	0	0	1	7
Ja'Vier Francis	Forward	15	1-4	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	1	2
Mylik Wilson	Guard	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Emanuel Sharp	G	22	0-6	0-6	0-0	2	1	3	0	0

Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Love	Guard	38	6-15	1-8	4-4	4	7	0	0	17
KJ Lewis	G	28	4-12	0-3	5-6	6	2	2	0	13
Carter Bryant	Forward	26	3-8	2-6	1-2	6	0	0	2	9
Henri Veesaar	C	25	3-5	0-0	1-3	3	0	0	1	7
Anthony Dell'Orso	G	15	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	5
Jaden Bradley	G	37	1-6	0-2	2-2	5	4	0	0	4
Trey Townsend	Forward	16	1-5	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Tobe Awaka	F	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.7Possessions62.7

98.9Offensive Efficiency92.5

92.5Defensive Efficiency98.9

6.4Net Efficiency-6.4

47.4%Effective FG%41.7%

49.8%True Shooting %46.7%

11.1%Turnover Rate17.7%

15.5%Free Throw Rate31.5%

29.3%3-Point Rate42.6%

1.57Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Houston won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 62.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.