Arkansas

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

67.9%Arkansas

32.1%Texas A&M

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL168.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -212

Texas A&M

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas 86

Projected Total168.3

Projected ScoreTexas A&M 82

Team Comparison

ArkansasMetricTexas A&M

69.3MMH Power Index58

122.2Offensive Efficiency116.1

109.8Defensive Efficiency108.4

12.4Net Efficiency7.7

8.6Strength of Schedule4.8

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.2

73.8Tempo69.1

56.4%Effective FG%53.5%

12.2%Turnover Rate14.8%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

36.5%Free Throw Rate37.5%

9.2Average Margin5.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–58.0), offensive efficiency (122.2–116.1), net efficiency (12.4–7.7), strength of schedule (8.6–4.8).

Texas A&M COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (108.4–109.8), free throw rate (37.5–36.5).

Final

Arkansas

61—69

Texas A&M

Texas A&M by 8 • 65.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArkansasTEAM STATTexas A&M

20-48FG24-57

42.0%FG%42.0%

7-213PT6-20

33.0%3PT%30.0%

14-19FT15-21

74.0%FT%71.0%

32Rebounds35

8Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists14

17Turnovers10

7Steals11

8Blocks4

17Fouls14

Player Box Score

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Karter Knox	G	35	7-9	3-4	0-0	5	0	1	1	17
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	20	3-5	2-3	5-6	6	1	0	4	13
Adou Thiero	Forward	31	2-6	1-2	5-6	3	4	1	1	10
Johnell Davis	Guard	28	3-13	1-7	0-0	3	1	2	0	7
Billy Richmond III	G	24	2-6	0-1	2-2	6	2	1	0	6
D.J. Wagner	G	28	2-6	0-2	0-1	2	2	1	0	4
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	20	1-1	0-0	2-4	3	3	1	1	4
Trevon Brazile	F	14	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	1	0

Texas A&M

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Wade Taylor IV	Guard	35	4-13	3-9	7-8	1	9	3	0	18
Zhuric Phelps	Guard	29	4-10	1-4	3-4	9	1	4	0	12
Andersson Garcia	Forward	26	4-8	0-1	3-5	5	3	2	0	11
Henry Coleman III	Forward	23	3-7	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Pharrel Payne	F	21	3-5	0-0	0-2	4	0	0	1	6
CJ Wilcher	Guard	7	2-4	2-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Solomon Washington	F	27	2-5	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	2	4
Manny Obaseki	Guard	14	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	1	2
Hayden Hefner	Guard	10	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Jace Carter	Not Available	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

65.5Possessions65.5

93.1Offensive Efficiency105.3

105.3Defensive Efficiency93.1

-12.2Net Efficiency12.2

49.0%Effective FG%47.4%

53.5%True Shooting %51.5%

25.7%Turnover Rate15.4%

39.6%Free Throw Rate36.8%

43.8%3-Point Rate35.1%

0.82Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

Texas A&M won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 65.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.