Troy

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.0%Troy

90.0%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -13.8

PROJECTED TOTAL166.6

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -900

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTroy 76

Projected Total166.6

Projected ScoreArkansas 90

Team Comparison

TroyMetricArkansas

54.1MMH Power Index69.3

112.6Offensive Efficiency122.2

103.9Defensive Efficiency109.8

8.7Net Efficiency12.4

-2.2Strength of Schedule8.6

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

70.4Tempo73.8

52.1%Effective FG%56.4%

17.1%Turnover Rate12.2%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

36.8%Free Throw Rate36.5%

6.1Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–54.1), offensive efficiency (122.2–112.6), net efficiency (12.4–8.7), strength of schedule (8.6–-2.2).

Troy COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.9–109.8), offensive rebounding (35.3–31.8), free throw rate (36.8–36.5).

Final

Troy

49—65

Arkansas

Arkansas by 16 • 68.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TroyTEAM STATArkansas

21-55FG24-56

38.0%FG%43.0%

3-193PT10-23

16.0%3PT%43.0%

4-7FT7-14

57.0%FT%50.0%

37Rebounds30

13Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists14

24Turnovers14

8Steals16

5Blocks11

16Fouls11

Player Box Score

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jackson Fields	F	30	6-8	0-1	1-2	6	1	0	1	13
Myles Rigsby	G	31	5-15	0-4	2-3	4	0	1	1	12
Jerrell Bellamy	C	9	4-7	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	1	9
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	G	23	3-6	2-5	0-0	1	0	1	1	8
Thomas Dowd	F	27	1-4	1-4	0-0	7	1	2	0	3
Tayton Conerway	G	28	1-11	0-3	0-0	2	6	3	1	2
Theo Seng	F	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Victor Valdes	F	17	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	2	1	0	0
Cooper Campbell	G	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Kerrington Kiel	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adou Thiero	Forward	33	8-15	1-4	2-4	7	1	1	1	19
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	22	6-8	6-7	1-2	2	0	3	5	19
Boogie Fland	G	32	3-7	2-3	4-8	0	7	3	0	12
Johnell Davis	Guard	32	3-9	1-4	0-0	5	0	0	0	7
Billy Richmond III	G	15	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	2	2	4
Trevon Brazile	F	9	2-4	0-1	0-0	5	0	2	2	4
D.J. Wagner	G	37	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	5	4	1	0
Karter Knox	G	16	0-5	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.5Possessions68.5

71.5Offensive Efficiency94.9

94.9Defensive Efficiency71.5

-23.4Net Efficiency23.4

40.9%Effective FG%51.8%

42.0%True Shooting %51.9%

34.6%Turnover Rate20.7%

12.7%Free Throw Rate25.0%

34.5%3-Point Rate41.1%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 68.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.