Cincinnati

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.8%Cincinnati

89.2%Iowa State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -14.8

PROJECTED TOTAL144.5

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -826

Iowa State

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCincinnati 65

Projected Total144.5

Projected ScoreIowa State 80

Team Comparison

CincinnatiMetricIowa State

61.5MMH Power Index75.9

105.3Offensive Efficiency119.3

97.3Defensive Efficiency96.0

8.0Net Efficiency23.3

5.1Strength of Schedule4.9

14.4Last 10 Net Efficiency17.5

69.4Tempo68.4

50.6%Effective FG%56.1%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.0%

30.6%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

30.7%Free Throw Rate35.2%

5.5Average Margin15.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–61.5), offensive efficiency (119.3–105.3), defensive efficiency (96.0–97.3), net efficiency (23.3–8.0).

Cincinnati COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.1–4.9).

Final

Cincinnati

70—81

Iowa State

Iowa State by 11 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CincinnatiTEAM STATIowa State

25-54FG24-49

46.0%FG%49.0%

11-273PT7-18

41.0%3PT%39.0%

9-11FT26-30

82.0%FT%87.0%

19Rebounds37

5Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists11

14Turnovers18

7Steals10

4Blocks1

24Fouls13

Player Box Score

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jizzle James	G	27	9-16	5-9	2-2	1	2	0	0	25
Day Day Thomas	G	33	4-13	1-6	4-5	0	4	0	0	13
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	32	4-5	0-0	2-2	3	0	2	2	10
Simas Lukosius	Guard	24	3-7	3-6	0-0	2	1	0	0	9
Josh Reed	F	23	2-5	2-4	0-0	3	0	2	0	6
Dillon Mitchell	F	25	2-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	3	1	4
Tyler Betsey	F	19	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	14	0-3	0-2	1-2	1	2	0	1	1
CJ Fredrick Jr.	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Arrinten Page	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Curtis Jones	Guard	29	4-13	2-8	12-12	6	3	0	0	22
Joshua Jefferson	F	32	5-9	0-0	3-4	7	2	3	0	13
Milan Momcilovic	F	29	5-10	2-5	0-0	2	1	0	0	12
Tamin Lipsey	G	31	3-3	2-2	3-5	5	0	4	0	11
Brandton Chatfield	Forward	16	3-4	0-0	3-3	6	0	1	0	9
Keshon Gilbert	Guard	32	2-5	1-1	3-4	5	4	2	0	8
Dishon Jackson	C	16	2-4	0-1	2-2	3	1	0	1	6
Nate Heise	G	15	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

101.7Offensive Efficiency117.7

117.7Defensive Efficiency101.7

-16.0Net Efficiency16.0

56.5%Effective FG%56.1%

59.1%True Shooting %64.0%

20.5%Turnover Rate26.0%

20.4%Free Throw Rate61.2%

50.0%3-Point Rate36.7%

0.64Assist / Turnover0.61

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.