Mississippi State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.1%Mississippi State

80.9%Ole Miss

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOle Miss -9.9

PROJECTED TOTAL159.1

MODEL MONEYLINEOle Miss -424

Ole Miss

15-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi State 75

Projected Total159.1

Projected ScoreOle Miss 85

Team Comparison

Mississippi StateMetricOle Miss

44.6MMH Power Index53

107.4Offensive Efficiency109.2

113.2Defensive Efficiency109.5

-5.8Net Efficiency-0.3

5.0Strength of Schedule5.4

-17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.3

72.3Tempo69.5

51.6%Effective FG%50.6%

16.1%Turnover Rate14.0%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

30.9%Free Throw Rate33.8%

-4.2Average Margin-0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ole Miss HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOle Miss holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.0–44.6), offensive efficiency (109.2–107.4), defensive efficiency (109.5–113.2), net efficiency (-0.3–-5.8).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (51.6–50.6), offensive rebounding (29.8–28.0).

Final

Mississippi State

81—71

Ole Miss

Mississippi State by 10 • 76.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi StateTEAM STATOle Miss

28-65FG23-60

43.0%FG%38.0%

7-273PT6-24

26.0%3PT%25.0%

18-27FT19-26

67.0%FT%73.0%

48Rebounds36

14Offensive Rebounds7

14Assists14

13Turnovers11

9Steals8

7Blocks4

24Fouls22

Player Box Score

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Melendez	Forward	25	7-11	2-5	1-2	5	0	1	0	17
Josh Hubbard	G	35	4-14	2-8	6-6	5	4	0	1	16
Riley Kugel	G	28	4-10	1-6	2-2	3	3	4	0	11
Claudell Harris Jr.	Guard	19	3-7	2-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	10
KeShawn Murphy	F	18	5-9	0-1	0-1	8	2	0	2	10
Mike Nwoko	F	14	3-4	0-1	1-2	3	0	1	1	7
Cameron Matthews	Forward	34	1-6	0-1	4-8	8	4	2	1	6
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	21	1-4	0-3	2-4	4	0	1	2	4
Dellquan Warren	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Ole Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylen Murray	Guard	25	5-8	2-2	2-2	2	1	1	0	14
Sean Pedulla	Guard	33	4-14	3-10	2-2	4	4	1	0	13
Jaemyn Brakefield	Forward	21	3-8	0-1	4-5	2	1	2	0	10
Malik Dia	F	17	2-6	1-3	4-6	8	0	2	1	9
Davon Barnes	Not Available	22	2-5	0-1	3-4	4	0	0	0	7
Matthew Murrell	Guard	28	2-6	0-3	2-2	6	3	2	0	6
Dre Davis	Guard	25	3-8	0-2	0-0	3	4	0	2	6
Mikeal Brown-Jones	Forward	11	2-4	0-1	2-3	0	0	0	1	6
Eduardo Klafke	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	1	0	0	0
Robert Cowherd	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
John Bol	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.6Possessions76.6

105.7Offensive Efficiency92.7

92.7Defensive Efficiency105.7

13.1Net Efficiency-13.1

48.5%Effective FG%43.3%

52.0%True Shooting %49.1%

16.9%Turnover Rate14.4%

41.5%Free Throw Rate43.3%

41.5%3-Point Rate40.0%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 76.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.