Duke

35-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

71.4%Duke

28.6%Virginia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL148.6

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -250

Virginia

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDuke 77

Projected Total148.6

Projected ScoreVirginia 72

Team Comparison

DukeMetricVirginia

81.7MMH Power Index68.9

122.2Offensive Efficiency119.0

95.2Defensive Efficiency101.8

27.0Net Efficiency17.2

7.8Strength of Schedule5.2

18.7Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

66.8Tempo67.6

56.9%Effective FG%55.0%

15.9%Turnover Rate16.0%

38.2%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

39.0%Free Throw Rate33.2%

18.0Average Margin11.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–68.9), offensive efficiency (122.2–119.0), defensive efficiency (95.2–101.8), net efficiency (27.0–17.2).

Final

Duke

80—62

Virginia

Duke by 18 • 60.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DukeTEAM STATVirginia

31-59FG20-52

53.0%FG%38.0%

9-233PT8-22

39.0%3PT%36.0%

9-11FT14-17

82.0%FT%82.0%

41Rebounds21

10Offensive Rebounds4

16Assists13

6Turnovers5

4Steals3

5Blocks3

15Fouls8

Player Box Score

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cooper Flagg	Forward	30	8-16	0-3	1-2	14	2	2	2	17
Kon Knueppel	Guard	29	5-12	3-6	4-4	7	1	1	0	17
Isaiah Evans	G	22	6-7	5-6	0-0	3	0	0	2	17
Sion James	Guard	21	3-3	0-0	3-3	3	3	0	0	9
Patrick Ngongba II	C	11	4-5	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	8
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	31	3-7	1-3	0-0	0	3	0	1	7
Khaman Maluach	Center	19	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Maliq Brown	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Caleb Foster	G	7	0-3	0-3	1-2	1	2	0	0	1
Mason Gillis	Forward	15	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	2	1	0	0
Darren Harris	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrew Rohde	G	34	5-10	2-4	3-4	5	5	1	0	15
Dai Dai Ames	G	30	6-12	1-4	2-3	1	3	0	0	15
Isaac McKneely	G	34	4-9	4-7	2-2	3	2	1	0	14
Elijah Saunders	F	23	1-8	1-4	4-4	3	2	0	0	7
Anthony Robinson	F	19	3-4	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	1	7
Blake Buchanan	F	21	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	1	2
Ishan Sharma	F	9	0-3	0-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Jacob Cofie	F	17	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Taine Murray	Guard	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
TJ Power	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.7Possessions60.7

131.8Offensive Efficiency102.1

102.1Defensive Efficiency131.8

29.7Net Efficiency-29.7

60.2%Effective FG%46.2%

62.3%True Shooting %51.6%

10.0%Turnover Rate8.2%

18.6%Free Throw Rate32.7%

39.0%3-Point Rate42.3%

2.67Assist / Turnover2.60

Game Summary

Duke won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 60.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.