Colorado

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.3%Colorado

95.7%Iowa State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -21.4

PROJECTED TOTAL156.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -2226

Iowa State

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado 67

Projected Total156.4

Projected ScoreIowa State 89

Team Comparison

ColoradoMetricIowa State

52.7MMH Power Index75.9

112.9Offensive Efficiency119.3

112.4Defensive Efficiency96.0

0.5Net Efficiency23.3

5.1Strength of Schedule4.9

-7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency17.5

71.0Tempo68.4

53.0%Effective FG%56.1%

14.6%Turnover Rate15.0%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

37.9%Free Throw Rate35.2%

0.4Average Margin15.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–52.7), offensive efficiency (119.3–112.9), defensive efficiency (96.0–112.4), net efficiency (23.3–0.5).

Colorado COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.1–4.9), ball security (14.6–15.0), free throw rate (37.9–35.2).

Final

Colorado

65—79

Iowa State

Iowa State by 14 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ColoradoTEAM STATIowa State

24-53FG24-47

45.0%FG%51.0%

4-173PT10-21

24.0%3PT%48.0%

13-22FT21-31

59.0%FT%68.0%

29Rebounds31

9Offensive Rebounds7

10Assists19

14Turnovers14

6Steals9

3Blocks2

25Fouls20

Player Box Score

Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bangot Dak	F	26	8-14	1-3	3-3	4	1	2	0	20
Harrison Carrington	F	17	4-5	1-1	2-3	3	0	0	0	11
Andrej Jakimovski	Forward	24	4-8	0-3	2-5	4	1	1	0	10
Julian Hammond III	Guard	30	3-9	1-4	2-2	3	2	1	0	9
Javon Ruffin	G	17	2-5	0-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	6
Sebastian Rancik	F	17	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Felix Kossaras	G	15	1-1	1-1	0-0	5	2	1	0	3
Elijah Malone	C	17	0-4	0-0	2-2	0	1	1	0	2
RJ Smith	G	20	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	2	0	2	0
Assane Diop	F	11	0-3	0-1	0-1	2	1	0	0	0
Trevor Baskin	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-4	2	0	0	1	0

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Milan Momcilovic	F	31	2-8	2-6	7-8	3	0	0	0	13
Dishon Jackson	C	21	3-4	0-0	7-10	3	1	0	2	13
Tamin Lipsey	G	32	4-7	2-4	2-2	5	3	2	0	12
Joshua Jefferson	F	24	4-6	2-2	2-3	7	4	2	0	12
Nate Heise	G	21	4-6	2-3	1-2	4	2	2	0	11
Curtis Jones	Guard	22	3-9	1-4	0-2	3	3	0	0	7
Brandton Chatfield	Forward	16	3-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
Keshon Gilbert	Guard	27	1-3	1-2	2-4	1	5	3	0	5
JT Rock	C	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kayden Fish	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cade Kelderman	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Demarion Watson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nojus Indrusaitis	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

94.8Offensive Efficiency115.2

115.2Defensive Efficiency94.8

-20.4Net Efficiency20.4

49.1%Effective FG%61.7%

51.2%True Shooting %64.0%

20.5%Turnover Rate20.4%

41.5%Free Throw Rate66.0%

32.1%3-Point Rate44.7%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.