Texas Tech

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.3%Texas Tech

45.7%TCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTCU -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL153.8

MODEL MONEYLINETexas Tech -119

TCU

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas Tech 77

Projected Total153.8

Projected ScoreTCU 77

Team Comparison

Texas TechMetricTCU

65.8MMH Power Index59.7

117.8Offensive Efficiency110.2

107.2Defensive Efficiency102.7

10.6Net Efficiency7.5

9.4Strength of Schedule4.6

0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

68.1Tempo70.2

56.4%Effective FG%50.5%

15.8%Turnover Rate15.3%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

28.2%Free Throw Rate38.3%

7.2Average Margin5.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas Tech HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas Tech holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.8–59.7), offensive efficiency (117.8–110.2), net efficiency (10.6–7.5), strength of schedule (9.4–4.6).

TCU COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.7–107.2), recent form (2.2–0.9), ball security (15.3–15.8).

Final

Texas Tech

66—69

TCU

TCU by 3 • 62.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas TechTEAM STATTCU

26-53FG24-58

49.0%FG%41.0%

9-253PT6-17

36.0%3PT%35.0%

5-8FT15-22

63.0%FT%68.0%

29Rebounds37

7Offensive Rebounds15

19Assists9

13Turnovers9

5Steals7

3Blocks2

17Fouls10

Player Box Score

Texas Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darrion Williams	F	37	9-15	3-7	0-0	2	5	2	0	21
Chance McMillian	Guard	36	7-10	5-7	0-0	4	1	0	0	19
JT Toppin	F	26	5-9	0-2	4-6	11	1	0	1	14
Christian Anderson	G	29	2-7	1-3	0-0	6	1	0	1	5
Elijah Hawkins	Guard	37	2-6	0-2	0-0	2	9	3	0	4
Federiko Federiko	F	17	1-1	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	1	3
Kerwin Walton	Guard	12	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Kevin Overton	G	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Noah Reynolds	Guard	32	4-8	2-3	6-8	3	1	0	0	16
Trazarien White	Forward	27	5-12	3-7	3-4	4	1	2	0	16
Ernest Udeh Jr.	C	33	5-6	0-0	1-2	10	1	1	0	11
David Punch	F	29	3-7	1-2	2-3	7	0	1	1	9
Vasean Allette	PG	31	4-11	0-1	0-1	3	5	0	0	8
Jace Posey	G	17	2-7	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	0	4
Brendan Wenzel	Guard	17	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Malick Diallo	C	7	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	1	1	2
Micah Robinson	F	7	0-3	0-1	1-2	0	1	1	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

62.7Possessions62.7

105.3Offensive Efficiency110.0

110.0Defensive Efficiency105.3

-4.8Net Efficiency4.8

57.5%Effective FG%46.6%

58.1%True Shooting %50.4%

20.7%Turnover Rate14.4%

15.1%Free Throw Rate37.9%

47.2%3-Point Rate29.3%

1.46Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

TCU won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 62.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.