Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

69.6%Illinois

30.4%Wisconsin

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL158.7

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -229

Wisconsin

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 82

Projected Total158.7

Projected ScoreWisconsin 77

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricWisconsin

76.5MMH Power Index64.5

125.0Offensive Efficiency118.6

103.3Defensive Efficiency108.8

21.7Net Efficiency9.8

6.7Strength of Schedule6.7

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency5.6

66.5Tempo69.9

54.8%Effective FG%54.6%

13.1%Turnover Rate12.8%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

33.8%Free Throw Rate32.5%

14.5Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–64.5), offensive efficiency (125.0–118.6), defensive efficiency (103.3–108.8), net efficiency (21.7–9.8).

Wisconsin COUNTERS WITHball security (12.8–13.1).

Final

Illinois

74—95

Wisconsin

Wisconsin by 21 • 72.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATWisconsin

26-60FG34-65

43.0%FG%52.0%

10-303PT10-24

33.0%3PT%42.0%

12-14FT17-22

86.0%FT%77.0%

30Rebounds39

9Offensive Rebounds13

13Assists17

14Turnovers10

6Steals12

5Blocks1

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	25	7-12	3-7	0-0	4	5	0	1	17
Ben Humrichous	F	34	4-11	3-6	2-2	4	2	1	1	13
Will Riley	Forward	30	4-9	1-2	2-2	3	3	1	1	11
Kylan Boswell	G	26	3-9	1-5	0-1	1	2	2	0	7
Tre White	G	24	1-4	0-1	5-6	5	0	0	1	7
Tomislav Ivisic	C	21	3-7	0-4	1-1	3	1	0	1	7
Kasparas Jakucionis	Guard	24	2-3	0-1	2-2	5	0	2	0	6
Jake Davis	F	8	2-4	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Carey Booth	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
AJ Redd	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Keaton Kutcher	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Tonje	Guard	31	9-15	3-5	10-12	3	0	4	0	31
Steve Crowl	Forward	28	7-10	3-3	3-4	7	5	2	0	20
John Blackwell	G	30	7-15	1-4	1-2	6	4	2	0	16
Nolan Winter	F	17	3-8	0-4	1-2	8	1	1	0	7
Max Klesmit	Guard	23	2-3	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Carter Gilmore	Forward	20	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	1	5
Xavier Amos	F	13	2-4	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Kamari McGee	Guard	22	1-5	0-0	2-2	4	2	0	0	4
Riccardo Greppi	F	1	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jack Janicki	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	3	1	0	0
Markus Ilver	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chris Hodges	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Isaac Gard	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Camren Hunter	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.1Possessions72.1

102.6Offensive Efficiency131.8

131.8Defensive Efficiency102.6

-29.1Net Efficiency29.1

51.7%Effective FG%60.0%

55.5%True Shooting %63.0%

19.5%Turnover Rate13.8%

23.3%Free Throw Rate33.8%

50.0%3-Point Rate36.9%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

Wisconsin won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 72.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.