Purdue

30-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.7%Purdue

53.3%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL151.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -114

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePurdue 75

Projected Total151.6

Projected ScoreMichigan State 77

Team Comparison

PurdueMetricMichigan State

73.2MMH Power Index69.8

124.8Offensive Efficiency117.0

107.8Defensive Efficiency101.5

17.0Net Efficiency15.5

7.6Strength of Schedule7.2

11.8Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

65.4Tempo67.3

57.8%Effective FG%54.1%

13.7%Turnover Rate17.2%

36.2%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

29.1%Free Throw Rate36.6%

11.1Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Purdue HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPurdue holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (73.2–69.8), offensive efficiency (124.8–117.0), net efficiency (17.0–15.5), strength of schedule (7.6–7.2).

Michigan State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.5–107.8), offensive rebounding (37.7–36.2), free throw rate (36.6–29.1).

Final

Purdue

66—75

Michigan State

Michigan State by 9 • 60.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PurdueTEAM STATMichigan State

24-47FG28-48

51.0%FG%58.0%

9-243PT4-13

38.0%3PT%31.0%

9-11FT15-21

82.0%FT%71.0%

21Rebounds23

5Offensive Rebounds5

16Assists20

12Turnovers8

4Steals10

3Blocks2

20Fouls13

Player Box Score

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	33	9-13	0-0	6-7	3	2	0	0	24
Braden Smith	G	39	7-13	3-9	0-0	5	8	1	0	17
Fletcher Loyer	G	31	2-5	2-3	2-2	5	5	2	0	8
Camden Heide	F	20	2-4	2-3	0-0	1	0	1	1	6
C.J. Cox	G	24	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Caleb Furst	Forward	19	1-2	0-0	1-2	0	1	0	1	3
Gicarri Harris	G	18	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Will Berg	C	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Myles Colvin	G	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Raleigh Burgess	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jase Richardson	Guard	29	3-6	2-3	4-4	1	3	2	0	12
Frankie Fidler	Forward	16	4-6	1-1	2-2	2	1	2	0	11
Jaden Akins	Guard	27	3-8	0-2	4-6	2	2	2	0	10
Coen Carr	F	21	4-4	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	0	10
Jaxon Kohler	F	27	4-5	1-2	0-0	4	1	0	2	9
Szymon Zapala	Center	14	4-5	0-0	1-1	4	0	0	0	9
Tre Holloman	G	26	3-7	0-2	1-2	1	6	3	0	7
Carson Cooper	C	15	3-3	0-0	1-4	2	0	0	0	7
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	19	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	6	1	0	0
Xavier Booker	F	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.1Possessions60.1

109.8Offensive Efficiency124.8

124.8Defensive Efficiency109.8

-15.0Net Efficiency15.0

60.6%Effective FG%62.5%

63.2%True Shooting %64.7%

20.3%Turnover Rate13.1%

23.4%Free Throw Rate43.8%

51.1%3-Point Rate27.1%

1.33Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 60.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.