Duke

35-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.8%Duke

48.2%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL150.2

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -107

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDuke 75

Projected Total150.2

Projected ScoreIllinois 75

Team Comparison

DukeMetricIllinois

81.7MMH Power Index76.5

122.2Offensive Efficiency125.0

95.2Defensive Efficiency103.3

27.0Net Efficiency21.7

7.8Strength of Schedule6.7

18.7Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

66.8Tempo66.5

56.9%Effective FG%54.8%

15.9%Turnover Rate13.1%

38.2%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

39.0%Free Throw Rate33.8%

18.0Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–76.5), defensive efficiency (95.2–103.3), net efficiency (27.0–21.7), strength of schedule (7.8–6.7).

Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (125.0–122.2), ball security (13.1–15.9), offensive rebounding (39.3–38.2).

Final

Duke

110—67

Illinois

Duke by 43 • 73.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DukeTEAM STATIllinois

40-72FG23-61

56.0%FG%38.0%

12-233PT2-26

52.0%3PT%8.0%

18-24FT19-28

75.0%FT%68.0%

44Rebounds30

16Offensive Rebounds10

28Assists10

6Turnovers9

5Steals4

1Blocks6

23Fouls17

Player Box Score

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Evans	G	18	5-8	3-5	4-6	2	2	0	0	17
Cooper Flagg	Forward	23	5-10	1-1	5-5	7	5	1	0	16
Kon Knueppel	Guard	28	6-9	1-2	2-2	4	2	1	0	15
Khaman Maluach	Center	23	6-9	0-1	1-1	7	2	0	1	13
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	27	4-9	1-3	3-4	3	4	1	0	12
Caleb Foster	G	7	5-6	2-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	12
Sion James	Guard	25	4-9	2-5	1-2	3	6	0	0	11
Patrick Ngongba II	C	14	2-6	0-0	1-2	6	3	1	0	5
Mason Gillis	Forward	19	1-2	1-2	0-0	4	2	1	0	3
Darren Harris	G	7	1-2	0-1	1-2	0	1	0	0	3
Spencer Hubbard	Guard	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Neal Begovich	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Stanley Borden	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cameron Sheffield	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre White	G	25	6-9	1-2	3-5	5	0	0	0	16
Kasparas Jakucionis	Guard	32	4-10	0-4	6-6	7	6	1	2	14
Kylan Boswell	G	27	4-9	0-4	4-4	5	0	3	1	12
Tomislav Ivisic	C	32	3-9	1-4	3-5	3	3	0	3	10
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	17	4-9	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	8
Will Riley	Forward	22	2-7	0-2	3-4	5	0	0	0	7
Ben Humrichous	F	22	0-5	0-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Jake Davis	F	14	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Carey Booth	F	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Keaton Kutcher	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
AJ Redd	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-4	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.4Possessions73.4

149.9Offensive Efficiency91.3

91.3Defensive Efficiency149.9

58.6Net Efficiency-58.6

63.9%Effective FG%39.3%

65.9%True Shooting %45.1%

8.2%Turnover Rate12.3%

33.3%Free Throw Rate45.9%

31.9%3-Point Rate42.6%

4.67Assist / Turnover1.11

Game Summary

Duke won by 43 points. The game played at approximately 73.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.