Iowa State

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.3%Iowa State

62.7%Houston

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHouston -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL143.9

MODEL MONEYLINEHouston -168

Houston

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa State 70

Projected Total143.9

Projected ScoreHouston 74

Team Comparison

Iowa StateMetricHouston

75.9MMH Power Index76

119.3Offensive Efficiency118.4

96.0Defensive Efficiency95.9

23.3Net Efficiency22.5

4.9Strength of Schedule5.9

17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency18.9

68.4Tempo65.2

56.1%Effective FG%52.3%

15.0%Turnover Rate12.9%

35.5%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

35.2%Free Throw Rate26.9%

15.9Average Margin14.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (119.3–118.4), net efficiency (23.3–22.5), shooting efficiency (56.1–52.3), offensive rebounding (35.5–35.3).

Houston COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (76.0–75.9), defensive efficiency (95.9–96.0), strength of schedule (5.9–4.9).

Final

Iowa State

59—68

Houston

Houston by 9 • 61.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Iowa StateTEAM STATHouston

18-46FG25-47

39.0%FG%53.0%

8-203PT10-17

40.0%3PT%59.0%

15-17FT8-10

88.0%FT%80.0%

22Rebounds29

6Offensive Rebounds6

13Assists6

12Turnovers17

10Steals7

4Blocks4

14Fouls15

Player Box Score

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Milan Momcilovic	F	35	4-14	2-9	6-6	5	1	1	0	16
Nate Heise	G	32	4-5	2-3	2-2	2	1	0	0	12
Tamin Lipsey	G	34	4-7	3-6	0-0	1	2	2	0	11
Brandton Chatfield	Forward	20	3-4	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	2	8
Dishon Jackson	C	14	1-4	0-0	3-4	3	0	0	0	5
Joshua Jefferson	F	37	1-9	0-1	2-3	4	8	7	2	4
Demarion Watson	G	17	1-3	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Cade Kelderman	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Nojus Indrusaitis	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Houston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
L.J. Cryer	Guard	35	11-17	5-7	1-1	5	1	1	0	28
Milos Uzan	G	36	7-10	3-5	2-2	4	1	1	0	19
Emanuel Sharp	G	29	3-5	2-4	3-4	1	2	1	0	11
J'Wan Roberts	Forward	34	1-6	0-0	2-2	6	2	1	0	4
Ja'Vier Francis	Forward	24	1-3	0-0	0-1	6	0	0	2	2
Joseph Tugler	F	20	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	2	1	2
Terrance Arceneaux	G	14	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Mylik Wilson	Guard	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.5Possessions61.5

95.9Offensive Efficiency110.6

110.6Defensive Efficiency95.9

-14.6Net Efficiency14.6

47.8%Effective FG%63.8%

54.6%True Shooting %65.7%

20.0%Turnover Rate27.1%

37.0%Free Throw Rate21.3%

43.5%3-Point Rate36.2%

1.08Assist / Turnover0.35

Game Summary

Houston won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 61.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.