Missouri

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.5%Missouri

86.5%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -12.6

PROJECTED TOTAL168.0

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -641

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri 78

Projected Total168.0

Projected ScoreArkansas 90

Team Comparison

MissouriMetricArkansas

57.2MMH Power Index69.3

115.1Offensive Efficiency122.2

109.7Defensive Efficiency109.8

5.4Net Efficiency12.4

5.0Strength of Schedule8.6

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

68.8Tempo73.8

55.2%Effective FG%56.4%

17.8%Turnover Rate12.2%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

43.1%Free Throw Rate36.5%

3.8Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–57.2), offensive efficiency (122.2–115.1), net efficiency (12.4–5.4), strength of schedule (8.6–5.0).

Missouri COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.7–109.8), offensive rebounding (34.8–31.8), free throw rate (43.1–36.5).

Final

Missouri

85—92

Arkansas

Arkansas by 7 • 77.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MissouriTEAM STATArkansas

30-68FG29-53

44.0%FG%55.0%

12-363PT6-18

33.0%3PT%33.0%

13-17FT28-37

76.0%FT%76.0%

35Rebounds28

17Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists15

18Turnovers16

8Steals11

1Blocks4

26Fouls18

Player Box Score

Missouri

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Mitchell	G	31	5-10	0-2	7-9	7	3	0	0	17
Marques Warrick	Guard	19	6-11	4-6	0-0	2	0	1	0	16
Caleb Grill	Guard	31	4-14	2-12	3-3	2	0	2	0	13
Tony Perkins	Guard	28	5-11	0-3	0-0	4	3	0	0	10
Jacob Crews	G	14	4-7	2-5	0-0	0	1	0	0	10
Tamar Bates	Guard	22	3-6	3-4	0-0	4	1	1	0	9
Trent Pierce	G	16	2-6	1-3	0-0	6	1	0	1	5
Anthony Robinson II	G	20	0-2	0-1	3-5	1	5	4	0	3
Aidan Shaw	G	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Marcus Allen	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Peyton Marshall	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	27	6-8	1-3	7-7	4	0	2	2	20
Johnell Davis	Guard	39	5-11	3-7	5-6	2	4	4	0	18
D.J. Wagner	G	33	4-10	1-3	8-10	1	3	2	0	17
Karter Knox	G	36	5-7	1-3	3-4	2	0	1	0	14
Adou Thiero	Forward	26	4-9	0-1	3-6	5	4	2	0	11
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	15	2-2	0-0	2-4	5	1	0	1	6
Billy Richmond III	G	11	2-4	0-0	0-0	5	3	0	1	4
Trevon Brazile	F	13	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

77.9Possessions77.9

109.1Offensive Efficiency118.1

118.1Defensive Efficiency109.1

-9.0Net Efficiency9.0

52.9%Effective FG%60.4%

55.9%True Shooting %65.2%

23.4%Turnover Rate20.4%

25.0%Free Throw Rate69.8%

52.9%3-Point Rate34.0%

0.78Assist / Turnover0.94

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 77.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.