Florida State

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.1%Florida State

80.9%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -11.8

PROJECTED TOTAL161.4

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -424

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida State 75

Projected Total161.4

Projected ScoreLouisville 87

Team Comparison

Florida StateMetricLouisville

58.7MMH Power Index67.1

111.9Offensive Efficiency118.6

108.5Defensive Efficiency102.2

3.4Net Efficiency16.4

5.7Strength of Schedule6.0

7.6Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

71.8Tempo71.0

52.4%Effective FG%56.9%

15.2%Turnover Rate16.8%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

35.2%Free Throw Rate34.1%

2.4Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–58.7), offensive efficiency (118.6–111.9), defensive efficiency (102.2–108.5), net efficiency (16.4–3.4).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (7.6–1.4), ball security (15.2–16.8), free throw rate (35.2–34.1).

Final

Florida State

81—89

Louisville

Louisville by 8 • 72.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida StateTEAM STATLouisville

32-59FG26-52

54.0%FG%50.0%

4-173PT7-21

24.0%3PT%33.0%

13-17FT30-34

76.0%FT%88.0%

27Rebounds31

8Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists10

14Turnovers13

7Steals7

3Blocks2

25Fouls14

Player Box Score

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamir Watkins	Guard	36	7-16	1-6	8-10	4	3	0	0	23
Malique Ewin	F	28	9-10	0-0	1-1	9	2	2	0	19
Daquan Davis	G	23	3-6	1-2	3-3	0	1	3	0	10
Chandler Jackson	G	23	3-7	0-1	1-2	1	2	1	0	7
Alier Maluk	F	12	3-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Jerry Deng	F	9	2-4	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Bostyn Holt	Guard	10	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	4
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	28	1-4	1-3	0-1	3	0	0	3	3
Justin Thomas	G	18	1-5	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
AJ Swinton	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chucky Hepburn	Guard	36	5-13	2-8	17-19	3	2	5	0	29
J'Vonne Hadley	G	38	7-11	2-2	2-2	11	1	1	1	18
Terrence Edwards Jr.	Guard	25	6-11	0-0	4-4	1	2	1	0	16
Reyne Smith	Guard	33	3-10	3-10	2-2	3	1	0	0	11
Khani Rooths	F	15	2-3	0-0	2-3	4	0	0	0	6
Aboubacar Traore	Forward	16	1-1	0-0	3-4	4	0	0	0	5
James Scott	F	29	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	4	0	1	4
Noah Waterman	Forward	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.7Possessions72.7

111.4Offensive Efficiency122.4

122.4Defensive Efficiency111.4

-11.0Net Efficiency11.0

57.6%Effective FG%56.7%

60.4%True Shooting %65.3%

19.2%Turnover Rate18.0%

28.8%Free Throw Rate65.4%

28.8%3-Point Rate40.4%

0.79Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

Louisville won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 72.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.