UConn

34-5

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.3%UConn

62.7%St. John's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -4.4

PROJECTED TOTAL147.3

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -168

St. John's

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUConn 71

Projected Total147.3

Projected ScoreSt. John's 76

Team Comparison

UConnMetricSt. John's

70.2MMH Power Index70.3

116.3Offensive Efficiency114.4

98.4Defensive Efficiency97.6

17.9Net Efficiency16.8

6.3Strength of Schedule5.5

9.4Last 10 Net Efficiency11.4

66.2Tempo70.9

55.0%Effective FG%51.3%

16.4%Turnover Rate14.3%

35.4%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

30.7%Free Throw Rate41.1%

11.8Average Margin11.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–70.2), defensive efficiency (97.6–98.4), recent form (11.4–9.4), ball security (14.3–16.4).

UConn COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.3–114.4), net efficiency (17.9–16.8), strength of schedule (6.3–5.5).

Final

UConn

75—89

St. John's

St. John's by 14 • 73.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UConnTEAM STATSt. John's

23-59FG30-64

39.0%FG%47.0%

6-233PT8-19

26.0%3PT%42.0%

23-29FT21-27

79.0%FT%78.0%

39Rebounds36

18Offensive Rebounds15

16Assists20

18Turnovers12

6Steals11

8Blocks11

20Fouls22

Player Box Score

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alex Karaban	F	36	5-11	3-6	4-4	7	3	0	2	17
Solo Ball	G	35	5-13	3-9	2-2	2	1	1	0	15
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	20	5-8	0-0	5-7	6	0	0	2	15
Liam McNeeley	Forward	35	2-13	0-6	10-12	9	3	1	0	14
Samson Johnson	Center	20	3-3	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	2	8
Hassan Diarra	Guard	27	2-8	0-1	0-0	7	6	4	1	4
Jayden Ross	F	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jaylin Stewart	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Ahmad Nowell	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-2	1	2	0	0	0
Aidan Mahaney	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zuby Ejiofor	F	34	5-6	0-0	8-9	9	6	2	3	18
Kadary Richmond	Guard	25	6-13	0-1	6-8	3	4	2	2	18
RJ Luis Jr.	Guard	37	4-18	3-6	3-4	5	0	2	1	14
Aaron Scott	Guard	34	5-11	2-6	1-1	8	2	3	2	13
Deivon Smith	Guard	31	4-7	2-3	2-2	7	8	1	1	12
Simeon Wilcher	G	18	3-5	0-1	1-3	0	0	0	1	7
Sadiku Ibine Ayo	F	8	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Lefteris Liotopoulos	G	6	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Ruben Prey	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Vince Iwuchukwu	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.3Possessions73.3

102.3Offensive Efficiency121.4

121.4Defensive Efficiency102.3

-19.1Net Efficiency19.1

44.1%Effective FG%53.1%

51.5%True Shooting %57.9%

24.7%Turnover Rate16.3%

49.2%Free Throw Rate42.2%

39.0%3-Point Rate29.7%

0.89Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

St. John's won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 73.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.