Louisville

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

63.1%Louisville

36.9%Virginia Tech

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL158.4

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -171

Virginia Tech

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisville 81

Projected Total158.4

Projected ScoreVirginia Tech 77

Team Comparison

LouisvilleMetricVirginia Tech

67.1MMH Power Index57.7

118.6Offensive Efficiency112.8

102.2Defensive Efficiency107.2

16.4Net Efficiency5.6

6.0Strength of Schedule5.8

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.9

71.0Tempo69.8

56.9%Effective FG%52.3%

16.8%Turnover Rate14.9%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

34.1%Free Throw Rate34.7%

11.7Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–57.7), offensive efficiency (118.6–112.8), defensive efficiency (102.2–107.2), net efficiency (16.4–5.6).

Virginia Tech COUNTERS WITHball security (14.9–16.8), free throw rate (34.7–34.1).

Final

Louisville

71—66

Virginia Tech

Louisville by 5 • 72.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisvilleTEAM STATVirginia Tech

28-62FG25-58

45.0%FG%43.0%

6-233PT11-26

26.0%3PT%42.0%

9-11FT5-6

82.0%FT%83.0%

30Rebounds37

7Offensive Rebounds10

15Assists9

12Turnovers22

9Steals6

1Blocks3

9Fouls15

Player Box Score

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chucky Hepburn	Guard	37	5-12	1-3	4-4	2	6	2	0	15
Terrence Edwards Jr.	Guard	35	5-14	2-6	1-1	4	3	1	0	13
James Scott	F	29	6-7	0-0	1-3	6	2	0	1	13
J'Vonne Hadley	G	34	5-10	1-2	0-0	8	2	2	0	11
Reyne Smith	Guard	32	3-11	1-9	2-2	0	1	2	0	9
Noah Waterman	Forward	14	2-3	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	5
Aboubacar Traore	Forward	11	2-3	0-0	1-1	3	1	1	0	5
Khani Rooths	F	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Virginia Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	27	6-10	4-7	2-2	5	4	1	0	18
Ben Burnham	Forward	28	5-11	3-7	0-0	4	2	0	1	13
Tyler Johnson	G	32	4-7	1-2	3-4	4	0	2	0	12
Jaydon Young	G	25	4-12	3-7	0-0	3	2	0	0	11
Patrick Wessler	F	24	4-6	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	1	8
Tobi Lawal	F	22	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	1	2	1	2
Ben Hammond	G	14	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Jaden Schutt	G	22	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Connor Serven	F	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.6Possessions72.6

97.8Offensive Efficiency90.9

90.9Defensive Efficiency97.8

6.9Net Efficiency-6.9

50.0%Effective FG%52.6%

52.8%True Shooting %54.2%

16.6%Turnover Rate30.2%

17.7%Free Throw Rate10.3%

37.1%3-Point Rate44.8%

1.25Assist / Turnover0.41

Game Summary

Louisville won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 72.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.