Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.6%Providence

57.4%Marquette

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMarquette -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL164.5

MODEL MONEYLINEMarquette -135

Marquette

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 81

Projected Total164.5

Projected ScoreMarquette 84

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricMarquette

54.2MMH Power Index52.3

115.0Offensive Efficiency106.0

113.2Defensive Efficiency106.9

1.8Net Efficiency-0.9

4.0Strength of Schedule4.2

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.5

74.2Tempo70.9

55.0%Effective FG%50.5%

16.7%Turnover Rate16.0%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

37.3%Free Throw Rate33.8%

1.3Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–52.3), offensive efficiency (115.0–106.0), net efficiency (1.8–-0.9), shooting efficiency (55.0–50.5).

Marquette COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.9–113.2), strength of schedule (4.2–4.0), recent form (3.5–-1.3).

Final

Providence

52—82

Marquette

Marquette by 30 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATMarquette

19-56FG27-61

34.0%FG%44.0%

6-263PT17-41

23.0%3PT%41.0%

8-11FT11-16

73.0%FT%69.0%

34Rebounds39

10Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists22

18Turnovers10

5Steals10

3Blocks3

13Fouls13

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Pierre	G	33	4-11	1-5	4-4	4	3	0	0	13
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	33	4-5	0-0	0-1	8	0	0	3	8
Rich Barron	F	28	3-12	2-9	0-0	4	2	2	0	8
Bensley Joseph	Guard	18	2-8	2-6	1-2	1	1	0	0	7
Nilavan Daniels	G	17	2-4	1-2	2-2	1	1	0	0	7
Ryan Mela	G	20	2-6	0-0	0-0	6	1	1	0	4
Wesley Cardet Jr.	Guard	10	1-2	0-1	1-2	0	1	0	0	3
Justyn Fernandez	G	6	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	28	0-5	0-1	0-0	6	1	2	0	0
Anton Bonke	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Eli DeLaurier	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Marquette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kam Jones	Guard	31	6-11	4-8	1-1	2	7	2	0	17
Ben Gold	F	22	7-9	3-5	0-0	6	1	0	1	17
Stevie Mitchell	Guard	21	5-11	4-9	0-0	4	4	1	0	14
David Joplin	Forward	26	2-8	2-6	1-2	6	3	3	0	7
Royce Parham	F	16	2-5	2-4	1-2	5	0	1	0	7
Chase Ross	G	27	0-2	0-1	5-5	3	3	1	2	5
Zaide Lowery	G	18	2-5	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Tre Norman	G	11	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Casey O'Malley	G	1	0-0	0-0	3-4	0	0	0	0	3
Damarius Owens	F	12	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Caedin Hamilton	F	9	1-2	0-0	0-2	3	2	1	0	2
Jake Ciardo	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cameron Brown	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jonah Lucas	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Jack Anderson	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

76.6Offensive Efficiency120.8

120.8Defensive Efficiency76.6

-44.2Net Efficiency44.2

39.3%Effective FG%58.2%

42.5%True Shooting %59.8%

26.0%Turnover Rate15.0%

19.6%Free Throw Rate26.2%

46.4%3-Point Rate67.2%

0.56Assist / Turnover2.20

Game Summary

Marquette won by 30 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.