Elon

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.3%Elon

93.7%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -17.6

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -1487

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreElon 69

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 87

Team Comparison

ElonMetricNorth Carolina

45.5MMH Power Index65.2

113.0Offensive Efficiency115.5

112.7Defensive Efficiency103.8

0.3Net Efficiency11.7

-1.4Strength of Schedule7.6

-13.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

69.1Tempo69.0

52.6%Effective FG%54.6%

15.6%Turnover Rate13.9%

33.4%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

34.0%Free Throw Rate38.1%

0.3Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–45.5), offensive efficiency (115.5–113.0), defensive efficiency (103.8–112.7), net efficiency (11.7–0.3).

Elon COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.4–31.1).

Final

Elon

76—90

North Carolina

North Carolina by 14 • 74.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ElonTEAM STATNorth Carolina

26-61FG32-80

43.0%FG%40.0%

13-293PT13-32

45.0%3PT%41.0%

11-14FT13-16

79.0%FT%81.0%

40Rebounds43

10Offensive Rebounds18

11Assists22

16Turnovers6

4Steals11

5Blocks7

12Fouls13

Player Box Score

Elon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tajuan Simpkins	G	22	6-12	1-3	5-5	5	3	1	1	18
Nick Dorn	G	30	6-12	5-10	0-1	5	1	0	0	17
Sam Sherry	Forward	25	6-11	2-4	1-2	8	0	0	0	15
Takai Simpkins	G	31	4-12	2-8	4-4	2	3	2	1	14
Isaac Harrell	F	23	2-4	2-2	0-0	6	0	0	0	6
Drew King	G	30	1-7	0-1	1-2	3	4	1	0	3
Brayden Crump	F	16	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Matt Van Komen	C	18	0-0	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	2	0
Kendall Campbell	Forward	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Davis	Guard	33	7-19	3-11	7-7	7	7	2	0	24
Elliot Cadeau	G	32	4-7	3-4	6-8	4	8	3	2	17
Seth Trimble	G	30	6-12	3-4	0-1	2	3	2	1	15
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	22	4-10	2-3	0-0	10	1	1	0	10
Jalen Washington	C	21	4-7	0-1	0-0	4	1	1	1	8
Drake Powell	Guard	17	2-8	1-2	0-0	2	2	1	1	5
Ian Jackson	G	12	2-7	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	17	2-4	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	2	4
Cade Tyson	G	16	1-6	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

74.7Possessions74.7

101.7Offensive Efficiency120.5

120.5Defensive Efficiency101.7

-18.7Net Efficiency18.7

53.3%Effective FG%48.1%

56.2%True Shooting %51.4%

21.7%Turnover Rate7.9%

23.0%Free Throw Rate20.0%

47.5%3-Point Rate40.0%

0.69Assist / Turnover3.67

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 74.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.