St. John's

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

81.0%St. John's

19.0%Butler

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -8.9

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -426

Butler

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. John's 83

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreButler 74

Team Comparison

St. John'sMetricButler

70.3MMH Power Index52.7

114.4Offensive Efficiency111.7

97.6Defensive Efficiency109.1

16.8Net Efficiency2.6

5.5Strength of Schedule3.1

11.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

70.9Tempo71.1

51.3%Effective FG%51.2%

14.3%Turnover Rate15.9%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

41.1%Free Throw Rate42.9%

11.9Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–52.7), offensive efficiency (114.4–111.7), defensive efficiency (97.6–109.1), net efficiency (16.8–2.6).

Butler COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (42.9–41.1).

Final

St. John's

76—70

Butler

St. John's by 6 • 65.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. John'sTEAM STATButler

29-59FG24-61

49.0%FG%39.0%

4-153PT6-27

27.0%3PT%22.0%

14-19FT16-18

74.0%FT%89.0%

32Rebounds39

12Offensive Rebounds16

11Assists13

9Turnovers13

8Steals7

2Blocks4

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Luis Jr.	Guard	37	9-16	3-6	3-4	4	1	2	0	24
Kadary Richmond	Guard	33	4-8	0-1	5-6	6	5	3	1	13
Zuby Ejiofor	F	23	5-8	0-0	2-3	4	3	0	0	12
Deivon Smith	Guard	32	4-13	0-4	2-2	6	2	1	0	10
Aaron Scott	Guard	38	3-7	1-4	1-2	6	0	2	0	8
Vince Iwuchukwu	C	14	3-5	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	7
Simeon Wilcher	G	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Sadiku Ibine Ayo	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ruben Prey	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jahmyl Telfort	Forward	37	5-11	1-4	2-2	7	2	0	0	13
Pierre Brooks II	Forward	32	5-14	2-7	0-0	2	1	1	0	12
Boden Kapke	F	18	3-6	1-3	5-5	4	0	1	0	12
Kolby King	G	24	3-9	1-4	4-5	6	1	2	0	11
Patrick McCaffery	Forward	29	3-6	1-4	2-2	5	2	0	0	9
Finley Bizjack	G	24	3-11	0-5	2-2	2	4	2	0	8
Andre Screen	Center	21	2-4	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	3	4
Landon Moore	G	15	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	2	0	1	1

Advanced Game Stats

65.8Possessions65.8

115.5Offensive Efficiency106.4

106.4Defensive Efficiency115.5

9.1Net Efficiency-9.1

52.5%Effective FG%44.3%

55.9%True Shooting %50.3%

13.8%Turnover Rate19.5%

32.2%Free Throw Rate29.5%

25.4%3-Point Rate44.3%

1.22Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

St. John's won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 65.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.