Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

91.3%Michigan State

8.7%Maryland

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -14.9

PROJECTED TOTAL147.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -1049

Maryland

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 81

Projected Total147.4

Projected ScoreMaryland 66

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricMaryland

69.8MMH Power Index44.1

117.0Offensive Efficiency104.5

101.5Defensive Efficiency113.6

15.5Net Efficiency-9.1

7.2Strength of Schedule5.2

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.7

67.3Tempo66.7

54.1%Effective FG%48.6%

17.2%Turnover Rate18.8%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %34.0%

36.6%Free Throw Rate38.9%

10.5Average Margin-6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–44.1), offensive efficiency (117.0–104.5), defensive efficiency (101.5–113.6), net efficiency (15.5–-9.1).

Maryland COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (38.9–36.6).

Final

Michigan State

58—55

Maryland

Michigan State by 3 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATMaryland

22-65FG15-48

34.0%FG%31.0%

4-153PT4-20

27.0%3PT%20.0%

10-12FT21-26

83.0%FT%81.0%

45Rebounds33

13Offensive Rebounds4

8Assists4

12Turnovers11

6Steals7

3Blocks4

19Fouls13

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jase Richardson	Guard	34	6-14	0-3	3-3	8	1	0	0	15
Tre Holloman	G	20	3-12	1-4	2-2	2	3	1	1	9
Szymon Zapala	Center	20	2-4	0-0	3-4	6	0	0	1	7
Jaden Akins	Guard	27	2-9	1-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	5
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	22	2-7	1-1	0-0	4	1	3	0	5
Frankie Fidler	Forward	9	2-4	0-2	1-2	2	0	0	0	5
Coen Carr	F	14	2-4	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	4
Jaxon Kohler	F	18	1-3	0-0	1-1	8	1	0	0	3
Xavier Booker	F	14	1-4	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	1	3
Carson Cooper	C	22	1-4	0-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	2

Maryland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rodney Rice	G	39	6-12	4-8	4-5	1	0	2	1	20
Ja'Kobi Gillespie	G	37	2-10	0-6	11-11	2	3	2	0	15
Derik Queen	Center	36	2-11	0-2	6-9	10	1	0	1	10
Selton Miguel	Guard	23	3-6	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Julian Reese	Forward	34	2-7	0-0	0-1	7	0	1	1	4
DeShawn Harris-Smith	G	17	0-2	0-1	0-0	5	0	1	0	0
Jordan Geronimo	Forward	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	1	0
Jay Young	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

84.5Offensive Efficiency80.2

80.2Defensive Efficiency84.5

4.4Net Efficiency-4.4

36.9%Effective FG%35.4%

41.0%True Shooting %45.6%

17.2%Turnover Rate16.3%

18.5%Free Throw Rate54.2%

23.1%3-Point Rate41.7%

0.67Assist / Turnover0.36

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.