Auburn

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.9%Auburn

61.1%Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKentucky -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL162.4

MODEL MONEYLINEKentucky -157

Kentucky

22-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAuburn 79

Projected Total162.4

Projected ScoreKentucky 84

Team Comparison

AuburnMetricKentucky

64.4MMH Power Index63.9

118.8Offensive Efficiency115.2

113.0Defensive Efficiency106.3

5.8Net Efficiency8.9

7.5Strength of Schedule8.7

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

69.8Tempo69.9

53.1%Effective FG%53.2%

14.5%Turnover Rate15.4%

36.5%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

43.8%Free Throw Rate38.0%

4.1Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–63.9), offensive efficiency (118.8–115.2), recent form (8.0–-1.0), ball security (14.5–15.4).

Kentucky COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.3–113.0), net efficiency (8.9–5.8), strength of schedule (8.7–7.5).

Final

Auburn

94—78

Kentucky

Auburn by 16 • 73.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AuburnTEAM STATKentucky

29-56FG23-50

52.0%FG%46.0%

12-263PT4-17

46.0%3PT%24.0%

24-31FT28-38

77.0%FT%74.0%

23Rebounds38

5Offensive Rebounds12

8Assists12

8Turnovers18

7Steals5

2Blocks1

25Fouls19

Player Box Score

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miles Kelly	Guard	35	10-17	9-14	1-1	2	1	1	0	30
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	29	6-12	1-3	9-10	2	1	3	1	22
Tahaad Pettiford	G	33	6-10	1-4	8-9	2	4	0	0	21
Johni Broome	Forward	33	3-9	0-2	3-7	6	1	3	0	9
Chris Moore	Forward	13	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Denver Jones	Guard	8	1-2	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	0	4
Chaney Johnson	Forward	25	1-3	0-1	1-2	3	0	0	1	3
Dylan Cardwell	Center	21	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Ja'Heim Hudson	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Koby Brea	Guard	38	7-11	4-7	3-3	6	1	0	0	21
Andrew Carr	Forward	28	7-11	0-2	6-8	2	1	1	0	20
Lamont Butler	Guard	32	4-13	0-3	7-8	2	0	1	0	15
Amari Williams	Center	31	3-5	0-0	7-13	14	7	0	0	13
Otega Oweh	G	20	1-3	0-0	2-2	0	1	1	0	4
Collin Chandler	G	15	1-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	0	4
Brandon Garrison	F	13	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	1	1	1
Trent Noah	F	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Ansley Almonor	Forward	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Travis Perry	G	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.9Possessions73.9

127.2Offensive Efficiency105.5

105.5Defensive Efficiency127.2

21.7Net Efficiency-21.7

62.5%Effective FG%50.0%

66.5%True Shooting %57.3%

10.9%Turnover Rate24.3%

55.4%Free Throw Rate76.0%

46.4%3-Point Rate34.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Auburn won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 73.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.