Florida State

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.4%Florida State

95.6%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -21.4

PROJECTED TOTAL154.1

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -2173

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida State 66

Projected Total154.1

Projected ScoreDuke 88

Team Comparison

Florida StateMetricDuke

58.7MMH Power Index81.7

111.9Offensive Efficiency122.2

108.5Defensive Efficiency95.2

3.4Net Efficiency27.0

5.7Strength of Schedule7.8

7.6Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

71.8Tempo66.8

52.4%Effective FG%56.9%

15.2%Turnover Rate15.9%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

35.2%Free Throw Rate39.0%

2.4Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–58.7), offensive efficiency (122.2–111.9), defensive efficiency (95.2–108.5), net efficiency (27.0–3.4).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHball security (15.2–15.9).

Final

Florida State

65—100

Duke

Duke by 35 • 71.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida StateTEAM STATDuke

22-57FG32-73

39.0%FG%44.0%

7-213PT8-30

33.0%3PT%27.0%

14-17FT28-34

82.0%FT%82.0%

32Rebounds49

9Offensive Rebounds21

8Assists17

14Turnovers4

—Steals7

3Blocks6

25Fouls20

Player Box Score

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
Jamir Watkins	Guard	33	8-18	1-5	4-5	8	3	0	21
Jerry Deng	F	24	4-7	3-5	1-2	1	0	0	12
Daquan Davis	G	19	2-4	0-1	4-4	2	0	1	8
AJ Swinton	F	16	2-6	1-1	2-2	2	0	0	7
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	26	2-5	2-3	0-0	4	1	0	6
Chandler Jackson	G	21	2-7	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	4
Bostyn Holt	Guard	10	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	4
Christian Nitu	F	15	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	2
Jason Simpson	Guard	3	0-2	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	1
Alier Maluk	F	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Justin Thomas	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	2	0
Anastasios Rozakeas	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0
Jesse Jones	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Evans	G	24	6-17	4-13	3-4	2	1	1	0	19
Cooper Flagg	Forward	20	5-9	0-0	6-6	6	4	2	1	16
Kon Knueppel	Guard	30	4-10	1-4	5-5	5	5	0	1	14
Khaman Maluach	Center	22	4-5	0-0	6-6	10	0	0	2	14
Mason Gillis	Forward	20	2-6	2-6	3-4	5	1	0	0	9
Sion James	Guard	21	3-5	0-0	1-1	6	4	0	1	7
Darren Harris	G	17	3-7	0-3	0-1	4	1	1	0	6
Spencer Hubbard	Guard	3	2-3	1-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	5
Patrick Ngongba II	C	15	2-2	0-0	0-1	3	0	1	1	4
Caleb Foster	G	15	1-7	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	0	4
Cameron Sheffield	G	7	0-1	0-1	2-4	2	0	0	0	2
Neal Begovich	Forward	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Stanley Borden	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.2Possessions71.2

91.3Offensive Efficiency140.4

140.4Defensive Efficiency91.3

-49.2Net Efficiency49.2

44.7%Effective FG%49.3%

49.9%True Shooting %56.1%

20.0%Turnover Rate5.5%

29.8%Free Throw Rate46.6%

36.8%3-Point Rate41.1%

0.57Assist / Turnover4.25

Game Summary

Duke won by 35 points. The game played at approximately 71.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.