Arizona

36-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.4%Arizona

51.6%Iowa State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -107

Iowa State

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona 76

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreIowa State 77

Team Comparison

ArizonaMetricIowa State

79.9MMH Power Index75.9

120.3Offensive Efficiency119.3

96.9Defensive Efficiency96.0

23.4Net Efficiency23.3

8.0Strength of Schedule4.9

17.0Last 10 Net Efficiency17.5

71.6Tempo68.4

55.0%Effective FG%56.1%

15.1%Turnover Rate15.0%

37.8%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

45.3%Free Throw Rate35.2%

16.8Average Margin15.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (79.9–75.9), offensive efficiency (120.3–119.3), net efficiency (23.4–23.3), strength of schedule (8.0–4.9).

Iowa State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (96.0–96.9), recent form (17.5–17.0), shooting efficiency (56.1–55.0).

Final

Arizona

67—84

Iowa State

Iowa State by 17 • 72.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArizonaTEAM STATIowa State

19-57FG27-54

33.0%FG%50.0%

4-223PT11-21

18.0%3PT%52.0%

25-27FT19-23

93.0%FT%83.0%

31Rebounds31

11Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists17

14Turnovers16

12Steals8

2Blocks2

20Fouls22

Player Box Score

Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Bradley	G	34	6-14	0-3	6-7	2	2	3	0	18
KJ Lewis	G	25	3-9	0-1	7-8	6	2	1	2	13
Caleb Love	Guard	35	2-15	2-10	4-4	2	3	2	0	10
Carter Bryant	Forward	19	3-5	1-3	2-2	6	0	1	0	9
Henri Veesaar	C	32	2-6	0-2	4-4	5	0	1	0	8
Trey Townsend	Forward	13	2-3	1-1	0-0	3	1	4	0	5
Tobe Awaka	F	19	1-3	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	4
Conrad Martinez	G	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Anthony Dell'Orso	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Milan Momcilovic	F	34	5-10	4-7	3-4	0	3	0	0	17
Tamin Lipsey	G	34	4-6	2-3	5-5	2	8	2	0	15
Nate Heise	G	27	5-9	2-4	0-0	4	1	2	0	12
Curtis Jones	Guard	24	3-6	1-2	5-6	3	1	1	0	12
Brandton Chatfield	Forward	23	5-7	0-0	0-0	8	1	0	1	10
Joshua Jefferson	F	22	1-5	0-1	6-8	4	1	1	0	8
Keshon Gilbert	Guard	23	2-8	2-4	0-0	3	2	2	0	6
Dishon Jackson	C	13	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	4

Advanced Game Stats

72.9Possessions72.9

91.9Offensive Efficiency115.2

115.2Defensive Efficiency91.9

-23.3Net Efficiency23.3

36.8%Effective FG%60.2%

48.0%True Shooting %64.7%

19.2%Turnover Rate21.9%

47.4%Free Throw Rate42.6%

38.6%3-Point Rate38.9%

0.64Assist / Turnover1.06

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 72.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.