Maryland

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.3%Maryland

57.7%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPenn State -3.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINEPenn State -136

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMaryland 74

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScorePenn State 77

Team Comparison

MarylandMetricPenn State

44.1MMH Power Index42.3

104.5Offensive Efficiency109.2

113.6Defensive Efficiency117.6

-9.1Net Efficiency-8.4

5.2Strength of Schedule5.3

-9.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

66.7Tempo67.5

48.6%Effective FG%53.4%

18.8%Turnover Rate15.6%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

38.9%Free Throw Rate34.6%

-6.1Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Penn State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPenn State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (109.2–104.5), net efficiency (-8.4–-9.1), strength of schedule (5.3–5.2), shooting efficiency (53.4–48.6).

Maryland COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (44.1–42.3), defensive efficiency (113.6–117.6), recent form (-9.7–-20.8).

Final

Maryland

68—64

Penn State

Maryland by 4 • 71.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MarylandTEAM STATPenn State

25-65FG23-57

38.0%FG%40.0%

7-213PT6-19

33.0%3PT%32.0%

11-13FT12-16

85.0%FT%75.0%

35Rebounds41

9Offensive Rebounds8

18Assists12

8Turnovers16

13Steals4

8Blocks6

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

Maryland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Derik Queen	Center	31	8-16	0-0	7-8	6	1	4	2	23
Ja'Kobi Gillespie	G	33	6-8	3-5	4-4	2	7	2	0	19
Selton Miguel	Guard	37	7-14	3-7	0-0	3	2	0	2	17
Rodney Rice	G	34	2-13	1-8	0-0	2	5	1	0	5
Julian Reese	Forward	36	2-10	0-0	0-1	15	0	6	3	4
Jay Young	Guard	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	3	0	0	0
DeShawn Harris-Smith	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jordan Geronimo	Forward	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Malachi Palmer	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tafara Gapare	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	35	4-11	2-6	8-8	5	3	1	0	18
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	36	5-11	2-6	2-4	8	1	1	0	14
Freddie Dilione V	G	33	6-14	0-2	0-0	6	1	0	0	12
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	33	3-7	0-0	2-4	6	1	0	3	8
Zach Hicks	Forward	33	3-6	2-4	0-0	9	4	0	2	8
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	11	2-5	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	1	4
Kachi Nzeh	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dominick Stewart	G	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Jahvin Carter	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.4Possessions71.4

95.2Offensive Efficiency89.6

89.6Defensive Efficiency95.2

5.6Net Efficiency-5.6

43.8%Effective FG%45.6%

47.8%True Shooting %49.5%

11.4%Turnover Rate22.0%

20.0%Free Throw Rate28.1%

32.3%3-Point Rate33.3%

2.25Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

Maryland won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 71.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.