Oregon State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.8%Oregon State

95.2%Saint Mary's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -20.9

PROJECTED TOTAL144.0

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -1983

Saint Mary's

27-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOregon State 62

Projected Total144.0

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 82

Team Comparison

Oregon StateMetricSaint Mary's

48.5MMH Power Index70.7

105.8Offensive Efficiency116.7

110.3Defensive Efficiency97.4

-4.5Net Efficiency19.3

4.5Strength of Schedule3.0

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency18.6

67.2Tempo66.3

50.6%Effective FG%53.1%

17.7%Turnover Rate16.6%

26.4%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

43.9%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-3.0Average Margin12.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–48.5), offensive efficiency (116.7–105.8), defensive efficiency (97.4–110.3), net efficiency (19.3–-4.5).

Oregon State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (4.5–3.0), free throw rate (43.9–36.8).

Final

Oregon State

64—74

Saint Mary's

Saint Mary's by 10 • 55.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Oregon StateTEAM STATSaint Mary's

22-46FG23-57

48.0%FG%40.0%

3-123PT9-22

25.0%3PT%41.0%

17-21FT19-23

81.0%FT%83.0%

22Rebounds39

6Offensive Rebounds20

11Assists13

6Turnovers7

5Steals3

3Blocks2

20Fouls16

Player Box Score

Oregon State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Parsa Fallah	F	27	5-8	0-0	4-4	3	0	1	0	14
Liutauras Lelevicius	G	33	6-8	0-1	0-1	8	0	0	2	12
Michael Rataj	G	30	5-16	0-3	2-3	3	0	2	0	12
Josiah Lake II	G	31	3-5	1-1	2-2	4	5	1	1	9
Damarco Minor	G	32	2-6	1-4	3-3	2	4	0	0	8
Isaiah Sy	F	21	1-3	1-3	4-6	0	0	0	0	7
Johan Munch	F	13	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	2
Matthew Marsh	Center	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	40	7-12	4-6	7-8	3	7	1	0	25
Luke Barrett	Forward	40	4-10	2-5	3-3	10	3	0	0	13
Mitchell Saxen	Center	33	5-10	0-0	2-4	11	1	1	0	12
Jordan Ross	G	25	2-5	0-2	5-6	1	1	0	0	9
Paulius Murauskas	F	23	3-10	2-4	0-0	5	1	0	1	8
Harry Wessels	C	23	1-4	0-0	2-2	5	0	1	1	4
Mikey Lewis	G	15	1-6	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Ashton Hardaway	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

55.5Possessions55.5

115.3Offensive Efficiency133.3

133.3Defensive Efficiency115.3

-18.0Net Efficiency18.0

51.1%Effective FG%48.2%

57.2%True Shooting %54.5%

10.7%Turnover Rate12.7%

45.7%Free Throw Rate40.4%

26.1%3-Point Rate38.6%

1.83Assist / Turnover1.86

Game Summary

Saint Mary's won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 55.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.