LSU

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

63.7%LSU

36.3%Mississippi State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLSU -3.2

PROJECTED TOTAL164.1

MODEL MONEYLINELSU -175

Mississippi State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLSU 84

Projected Total164.1

Projected ScoreMississippi State 80

Team Comparison

LSUMetricMississippi State

54.2MMH Power Index44.6

115.5Offensive Efficiency107.4

111.3Defensive Efficiency113.2

4.2Net Efficiency-5.8

4.5Strength of Schedule5.0

-12.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.5

70.5Tempo72.3

53.4%Effective FG%51.6%

15.6%Turnover Rate16.1%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

41.9%Free Throw Rate30.9%

2.9Average Margin-4.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

LSU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLSU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–44.6), offensive efficiency (115.5–107.4), defensive efficiency (111.3–113.2), net efficiency (4.2–-5.8).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.0–4.5).

Final

LSU

69—81

Mississippi State

Mississippi State by 12 • 65.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LSUTEAM STATMississippi State

25-64FG29-51

39.0%FG%57.0%

9-363PT7-21

25.0%3PT%33.0%

10-14FT16-22

71.0%FT%73.0%

31Rebounds36

13Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists10

9Turnovers11

5Steals6

—Blocks7

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Cam Carter	Guard	34	9-16	5-10	0-0	2	2	1	23
Daimion Collins	F	27	3-10	0-4	4-5	3	2	1	10
Jordan Sears	Guard	30	3-13	1-6	2-2	3	1	1	9
Derek Fountain	Forward	24	4-4	1-1	0-0	5	0	0	9
Mike Williams	G	13	3-10	2-7	0-1	2	0	0	8
Dji Bailey	Guard	31	3-5	0-2	1-2	6	3	0	7
Curtis Givens III	G	21	0-4	0-4	3-4	2	1	1	3
Robert Miller III	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0
Vyctorius Miller	G	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	35	9-18	2-9	10-11	4	2	1	0	30
Riley Kugel	G	30	5-6	2-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	12
KeShawn Murphy	F	24	4-7	0-1	1-3	5	1	0	1	9
Cameron Matthews	Forward	34	3-4	0-0	1-2	7	3	2	0	7
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	23	2-2	1-1	2-4	5	1	2	2	7
Mike Nwoko	F	15	3-5	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	6
RJ Melendez	Forward	17	1-1	1-1	2-2	1	0	0	3	5
Claudell Harris Jr.	Guard	17	2-8	1-6	0-0	2	1	1	1	5
Dellquan Warren	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.6Possessions65.6

105.2Offensive Efficiency123.5

123.5Defensive Efficiency105.2

-18.3Net Efficiency18.3

46.1%Effective FG%63.7%

48.8%True Shooting %65.9%

13.5%Turnover Rate17.1%

21.9%Free Throw Rate43.1%

56.3%3-Point Rate41.2%

1.11Assist / Turnover0.91

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 65.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.