Wisconsin

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.0%Wisconsin

75.0%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -300

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWisconsin 74

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreMichigan State 82

Team Comparison

WisconsinMetricMichigan State

64.5MMH Power Index69.8

118.6Offensive Efficiency117.0

108.8Defensive Efficiency101.5

9.8Net Efficiency15.5

6.7Strength of Schedule7.2

5.6Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

69.9Tempo67.3

54.6%Effective FG%54.1%

12.8%Turnover Rate17.2%

28.7%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

32.5%Free Throw Rate36.6%

6.9Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–64.5), defensive efficiency (101.5–108.8), net efficiency (15.5–9.8), strength of schedule (7.2–6.7).

Wisconsin COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.6–117.0), shooting efficiency (54.6–54.1), ball security (12.8–17.2).

Final

Wisconsin

62—71

Michigan State

Michigan State by 9 • 73.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WisconsinTEAM STATMichigan State

22-65FG28-71

34.0%FG%39.0%

5-323PT9-27

16.0%3PT%33.0%

13-16FT6-13

81.0%FT%46.0%

40Rebounds51

8Offensive Rebounds13

9Assists20

9Turnovers9

3Steals4

4Blocks6

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Blackwell	G	37	7-19	0-6	2-2	6	1	0	0	16
Nolan Winter	F	29	3-8	2-6	4-4	17	1	0	1	12
John Tonje	Guard	36	3-13	1-8	4-4	6	0	1	1	11
Steve Crowl	Forward	30	4-9	1-3	1-2	4	3	0	0	10
Carter Gilmore	Forward	16	2-4	0-1	0-1	1	1	1	1	4
Kamari McGee	Guard	35	1-8	0-5	1-2	3	3	1	0	3
Jack Janicki	G	13	1-1	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	1	3
Markus Ilver	Forward	2	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Xavier Amos	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Akins	Guard	31	6-18	4-9	3-6	8	1	0	0	19
Jase Richardson	Guard	21	4-9	3-6	0-1	5	6	1	0	11
Jaxon Kohler	F	30	4-10	0-2	2-3	16	2	0	1	10
Frankie Fidler	Forward	20	4-8	1-2	0-0	6	1	0	0	9
Carson Cooper	C	22	4-6	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	2	8
Tre Holloman	G	19	2-9	0-6	0-1	3	2	0	0	4
Coen Carr	F	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	1	4
Xavier Booker	F	4	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	3
Szymon Zapala	Center	17	1-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	2	1	2
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	23	0-4	0-0	1-2	1	5	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

73.4Possessions73.4

84.5Offensive Efficiency96.7

96.7Defensive Efficiency84.5

-12.3Net Efficiency12.3

37.7%Effective FG%45.8%

42.7%True Shooting %46.0%

12.2%Turnover Rate12.3%

24.6%Free Throw Rate18.3%

49.2%3-Point Rate38.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.22

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 73.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.