Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.9%Illinois

73.1%Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan -8.0

PROJECTED TOTAL157.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan -272

Michigan

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 75

Projected Total157.9

Projected ScoreMichigan 83

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricMichigan

76.5MMH Power Index80.9

125.0Offensive Efficiency122.3

103.3Defensive Efficiency97.0

21.7Net Efficiency25.3

6.7Strength of Schedule8.7

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency17.2

66.5Tempo71.8

54.8%Effective FG%58.8%

13.1%Turnover Rate16.4%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %34.6%

33.8%Free Throw Rate38.9%

14.5Average Margin18.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (80.9–76.5), defensive efficiency (97.0–103.3), net efficiency (25.3–21.7), strength of schedule (8.7–6.7).

Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (125.0–122.3), ball security (13.1–16.4), offensive rebounding (39.3–34.6).

Final

Illinois

93—73

Michigan

Illinois by 20 • 69.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATMichigan

34-73FG28-61

47.0%FG%46.0%

14-373PT4-18

38.0%3PT%22.0%

11-15FT13-19

73.0%FT%68.0%

43Rebounds32

19Offensive Rebounds12

20Assists9

9Turnovers11

4Steals6

3Blocks2

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre White	G	32	6-10	3-4	4-4	11	0	2	1	19
Kylan Boswell	G	37	7-13	1-5	2-3	9	4	1	2	17
Kasparas Jakucionis	Guard	33	5-14	3-6	4-7	6	4	0	0	17
Will Riley	Forward	36	6-12	0-4	1-1	4	5	0	0	13
Ben Humrichous	F	24	3-8	3-8	0-0	5	1	1	0	9
Jake Davis	F	9	3-3	2-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	8
Tomislav Ivisic	C	18	3-10	1-5	0-0	3	5	0	0	7
Carey Booth	F	1	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
AJ Redd	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Keaton Kutcher	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Vladislav Goldin	Not Available	30	11-15	0-1	0-4	7	0	0	0	22
Tre Donaldson	G	31	4-12	1-3	0-0	2	1	2	0	9
Danny Wolf	Center	25	3-6	0-1	3-4	5	1	0	2	9
Will Tschetter	F	25	3-7	1-4	2-2	5	2	0	0	9
Nimari Burnett	G	29	2-4	1-2	1-2	2	0	0	0	6
Justin Pippen	G	6	0-1	0-1	6-6	2	0	0	0	6
L.J. Cason	G	17	2-6	1-4	0-0	0	1	2	0	5
Roddy Gayle Jr.	G	21	2-7	0-1	0-0	4	2	2	0	4
Phat Phat Brooks	G	2	1-1	0-0	1-1	0	0	0	0	3
Rubin Jones	Guard	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Ian Burns	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.6Possessions69.6

133.6Offensive Efficiency104.9

104.9Defensive Efficiency133.6

28.7Net Efficiency-28.7

56.2%Effective FG%49.2%

58.0%True Shooting %52.1%

12.8%Turnover Rate15.9%

20.5%Free Throw Rate31.1%

50.7%3-Point Rate29.5%

2.22Assist / Turnover0.82

Game Summary

Illinois won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 69.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.