Wake Forest

18-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.9%Wake Forest

96.1%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -22.0

PROJECTED TOTAL152.7

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -2464

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWake Forest 65

Projected Total152.7

Projected ScoreDuke 87

Team Comparison

Wake ForestMetricDuke

57.6MMH Power Index81.7

112.4Offensive Efficiency122.2

109.7Defensive Efficiency95.2

2.7Net Efficiency27.0

7.2Strength of Schedule7.8

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

70.2Tempo66.8

52.8%Effective FG%56.9%

15.5%Turnover Rate15.9%

30.0%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

36.1%Free Throw Rate39.0%

1.9Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–57.6), offensive efficiency (122.2–112.4), defensive efficiency (95.2–109.7), net efficiency (27.0–2.7).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHball security (15.5–15.9).

Final

Wake Forest

60—93

Duke

Duke by 33 • 70.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Wake ForestTEAM STATDuke

19-58FG34-72

33.0%FG%47.0%

6-163PT14-39

38.0%3PT%36.0%

16-20FT11-13

80.0%FT%85.0%

33Rebounds45

12Offensive Rebounds18

7Assists19

15Turnovers10

1Steals8

1Blocks5

15Fouls19

Player Box Score

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Efton Reid III	Forward	37	3-8	2-5	6-8	6	1	0	0	14
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	25	5-12	1-1	3-3	3	1	0	0	14
Hunter Sallis	Guard	32	3-10	0-2	3-5	5	2	0	0	9
Tre'Von Spillers	F	36	3-9	1-2	0-0	11	0	0	1	7
Parker Friedrichsen	G	15	2-3	1-2	2-2	0	1	1	0	7
Juke Harris	G	24	2-8	0-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	6
Omaha Biliew	F	4	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Cameron Hildreth	Guard	27	0-7	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cooper Flagg	Forward	34	10-16	3-6	5-6	8	7	2	3	28
Kon Knueppel	Guard	31	5-9	2-4	5-5	5	4	2	0	17
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	24	5-11	1-6	1-2	4	2	1	0	12
Sion James	Guard	29	4-8	3-5	0-0	2	2	1	0	11
Mason Gillis	Forward	16	4-8	3-7	0-0	2	1	0	0	11
Isaiah Evans	G	17	3-8	2-7	0-0	2	1	0	0	8
Khaman Maluach	Center	24	2-7	0-2	0-0	14	2	0	1	4
Neal Begovich	Forward	2	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Patrick Ngongba II	C	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	0	0
Darren Harris	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Stanley Borden	C	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Spencer Hubbard	Guard	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Cameron Sheffield	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.4Possessions70.4

85.2Offensive Efficiency132.1

132.1Defensive Efficiency85.2

-46.9Net Efficiency46.9

37.9%Effective FG%56.9%

44.4%True Shooting %59.5%

21.3%Turnover Rate14.3%

34.5%Free Throw Rate18.1%

27.6%3-Point Rate54.2%

0.47Assist / Turnover1.90

Game Summary

Duke won by 33 points. The game played at approximately 70.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.