California

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.6%California

84.4%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -12.2

PROJECTED TOTAL157.1

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -541

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia 72

Projected Total157.1

Projected ScoreLouisville 85

Team Comparison

CaliforniaMetricLouisville

56.5MMH Power Index67.1

111.8Offensive Efficiency118.6

104.8Defensive Efficiency102.2

7.0Net Efficiency16.4

2.8Strength of Schedule6.0

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

69.9Tempo71.0

52.6%Effective FG%56.9%

14.9%Turnover Rate16.8%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

36.8%Free Throw Rate34.1%

4.9Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–56.5), offensive efficiency (118.6–111.8), defensive efficiency (102.2–104.8), net efficiency (16.4–7.0).

California COUNTERS WITHrecent form (1.8–1.4), ball security (14.9–16.8), free throw rate (36.8–34.1).

Final

California

68—85

Louisville

Louisville by 17 • 71.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CaliforniaTEAM STATLouisville

21-71FG27-51

30.0%FG%53.0%

9-323PT11-23

28.0%3PT%48.0%

17-22FT20-26

77.0%FT%77.0%

41Rebounds39

20Offensive Rebounds6

11Assists12

10Turnovers14

9Steals5

1Blocks7

20Fouls17

Player Box Score

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jovan Blacksher Jr.	Guard	32	7-14	4-7	4-4	4	3	2	0	22
Jeremiah Wilkinson	G	30	2-15	2-9	5-7	2	1	1	0	11
Mady Sissoko	Center	26	3-7	0-0	2-4	13	0	0	0	8
Rytis Petraitis	F	27	3-5	0-1	1-2	5	2	3	0	7
DeJuan Campbell	G	25	2-11	2-6	0-0	2	0	2	0	6
Lee Dort	F	16	1-2	0-0	3-3	5	2	1	1	5
Christian Tucker	Guard	7	1-1	1-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	5
Andrej Stojakovic	G	27	2-11	0-4	0-0	5	1	0	0	4
Spencer Mahoney	F	10	0-5	0-4	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Edwards Jr.	Guard	33	11-19	7-11	6-8	4	1	0	0	35
Chucky Hepburn	Guard	36	4-8	2-5	6-7	7	5	1	1	16
J'Vonne Hadley	G	34	5-9	1-1	5-6	8	2	1	0	16
James Scott	F	29	2-4	0-0	2-4	4	4	1	3	6
Noah Waterman	Forward	18	2-4	1-2	1-1	6	0	0	1	6
Khani Rooths	F	22	2-4	0-2	0-0	5	0	2	2	4
Aboubacar Traore	Forward	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Reyne Smith	Guard	5	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Frank Anselem-Ibe	Center	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Cole Sherman	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Spencer Legg	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Patrick Antonelli	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Aidan McCool	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.5Possessions71.5

95.1Offensive Efficiency118.9

118.9Defensive Efficiency95.1

-23.8Net Efficiency23.8

35.9%Effective FG%63.7%

41.7%True Shooting %67.1%

14.0%Turnover Rate19.6%

31.0%Free Throw Rate51.0%

45.1%3-Point Rate45.1%

1.10Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

Louisville won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 71.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.