Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.9%Michigan State

47.1%Iowa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL144.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -112

Iowa

24-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 72

Projected Total144.6

Projected ScoreIowa 72

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricIowa

69.8MMH Power Index64.2

117.0Offensive Efficiency118.4

101.5Defensive Efficiency105.2

15.5Net Efficiency13.2

7.2Strength of Schedule5.3

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

67.3Tempo63.0

54.1%Effective FG%56.6%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.1%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

36.6%Free Throw Rate36.2%

10.5Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–64.2), defensive efficiency (101.5–105.2), net efficiency (15.5–13.2), strength of schedule (7.2–5.3).

Iowa COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.4–117.0), shooting efficiency (56.6–54.1), ball security (15.1–17.2).

Final

Michigan State

91—84

Iowa

Michigan State by 7 • 72.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATIowa

31-61FG30-63

51.0%FG%48.0%

9-273PT9-23

33.0%3PT%39.0%

20-30FT15-18

67.0%FT%83.0%

36Rebounds35

10Offensive Rebounds10

15Assists18

8Turnovers10

6Steals4

5Blocks5

15Fouls25

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jase Richardson	Guard	33	7-13	2-6	6-9	4	2	1	0	22
Jaden Akins	Guard	32	6-14	3-10	0-1	2	4	1	0	15
Jaxon Kohler	F	24	5-7	0-0	5-5	6	1	1	0	15
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	20	4-6	1-2	5-7	3	3	2	0	14
Tre Holloman	G	28	4-9	3-7	0-0	0	4	1	0	11
Coen Carr	F	23	4-7	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	4	8
Frankie Fidler	Forward	14	0-3	0-0	2-4	5	0	0	0	2
Carson Cooper	C	14	0-0	0-0	2-4	4	0	0	1	2
Xavier Booker	F	5	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Szymon Zapala	Center	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Dix	G	38	7-15	3-5	1-1	7	4	0	0	18
Payton Sandfort	Forward	35	4-12	1-5	6-6	7	1	1	1	15
Seydou Traore	F	20	6-9	2-3	1-1	3	3	0	0	15
Pryce Sandfort	F	30	4-9	2-6	2-2	7	1	0	2	12
Drew Thelwell	Guard	29	2-7	1-2	2-2	2	2	1	0	7
Even Brauns	Forward	17	3-4	0-0	1-4	1	1	1	2	7
Brock Harding	G	13	2-3	0-1	2-2	4	6	1	0	6
Ladji Dembele	F	16	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Riley Mulvey	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.4Possessions72.4

125.7Offensive Efficiency116.0

116.0Defensive Efficiency125.7

9.7Net Efficiency-9.7

58.2%Effective FG%54.8%

60.5%True Shooting %58.7%

10.9%Turnover Rate14.0%

49.2%Free Throw Rate28.6%

44.3%3-Point Rate36.5%

1.88Assist / Turnover1.80

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 72.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.