Purdue

30-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.4%Purdue

70.6%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -7.1

PROJECTED TOTAL154.5

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -240

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePurdue 74

Projected Total154.5

Projected ScoreIllinois 81

Team Comparison

PurdueMetricIllinois

73.2MMH Power Index76.5

124.8Offensive Efficiency125.0

107.8Defensive Efficiency103.3

17.0Net Efficiency21.7

7.6Strength of Schedule6.7

11.8Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

65.4Tempo66.5

57.8%Effective FG%54.8%

13.7%Turnover Rate13.1%

36.2%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

29.1%Free Throw Rate33.8%

11.1Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–73.2), offensive efficiency (125.0–124.8), defensive efficiency (103.3–107.8), net efficiency (21.7–17.0).

Purdue COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.6–6.7), shooting efficiency (57.8–54.8).

Final

Purdue

80—88

Illinois

Illinois by 8 • 72.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PurdueTEAM STATIllinois

32-63FG28-57

51.0%FG%49.0%

5-183PT11-30

28.0%3PT%37.0%

11-13FT21-25

85.0%FT%84.0%

27Rebounds29

4Offensive Rebounds5

14Assists20

8Turnovers8

5Steals3

1Blocks2

21Fouls13

Player Box Score

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	35	13-23	0-0	3-3	7	0	0	0	29
Braden Smith	G	40	8-19	2-9	0-0	9	12	1	0	18
Fletcher Loyer	G	29	4-7	0-2	6-8	0	0	2	0	14
Gicarri Harris	G	13	3-4	2-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	8
C.J. Cox	G	24	2-5	1-3	2-2	5	0	0	1	7
Camden Heide	F	17	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Myles Colvin	G	14	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Caleb Furst	Forward	23	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	0
Raleigh Burgess	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Will Riley	Forward	37	7-14	2-4	6-6	2	4	1	0	22
Tre White	G	35	7-9	3-5	3-3	9	1	0	1	20
Kylan Boswell	G	29	4-7	0-3	7-9	4	5	0	0	15
Tomislav Ivisic	C	27	5-10	2-5	2-2	6	3	1	1	14
Kasparas Jakucionis	Guard	38	3-10	2-7	2-3	3	7	0	0	10
Ben Humrichous	F	21	2-4	2-4	1-2	1	0	1	0	7
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jake Davis	F	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.6Possessions72.6

110.2Offensive Efficiency121.2

121.2Defensive Efficiency110.2

-11.0Net Efficiency11.0

54.8%Effective FG%58.8%

57.8%True Shooting %63.9%

10.9%Turnover Rate11.1%

20.6%Free Throw Rate43.9%

28.6%3-Point Rate52.6%

1.75Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Illinois won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 72.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.