Alabama

24-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.5%Alabama

48.5%Auburn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama -0.0

PROJECTED TOTAL174.2

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama -106

Auburn

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama 87

Projected Total174.2

Projected ScoreAuburn 87

Team Comparison

AlabamaMetricAuburn

69.5MMH Power Index64.4

121.6Offensive Efficiency118.8

111.2Defensive Efficiency113.0

10.4Net Efficiency5.8

9.4Strength of Schedule7.5

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

74.7Tempo69.8

54.9%Effective FG%53.1%

13.0%Turnover Rate14.5%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %36.5%

36.9%Free Throw Rate43.8%

7.7Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.5–64.4), offensive efficiency (121.6–118.8), defensive efficiency (111.2–113.0), net efficiency (10.4–5.8).

Auburn COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (36.5–32.1), free throw rate (43.8–36.9).

Final

Alabama

93—91

Auburn

Alabama by 2 • 82.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AlabamaTEAM STATAuburn

35-67FG35-73

52.0%FG%48.0%

7-223PT10-26

32.0%3PT%38.0%

16-24FT11-17

67.0%FT%65.0%

41Rebounds33

10Offensive Rebounds9

18Assists24

15Turnovers9

4Steals6

3Blocks7

20Fouls20

Player Box Score

Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Grant Nelson	Forward	35	8-15	3-6	4-6	8	0	0	1	23
Labaron Philon Jr.	G	35	5-13	1-5	4-4	4	3	1	0	15
Clifford Omoruyi	Center	21	7-7	0-0	1-1	8	2	0	0	15
Mark Sears	Guard	40	3-9	1-4	2-2	3	7	0	0	9
Chris Youngblood	Guard	24	4-10	1-3	0-2	0	0	2	1	9
Aiden Sherrell	F	17	3-3	0-0	2-3	7	1	0	1	8
Mouhamed Dioubate	F	17	2-3	0-1	2-4	4	2	1	0	6
Aden Holloway	G	16	2-5	1-3	0-0	1	2	0	0	5
Jarin Stevenson	F	20	1-2	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	0	3

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johni Broome	Forward	43	15-28	2-4	2-5	8	3	3	5	34
Tahaad Pettiford	G	34	6-15	4-8	3-5	4	6	0	0	19
Miles Kelly	Guard	36	5-10	3-7	0-0	4	1	0	1	13
Denver Jones	Guard	38	3-7	1-4	2-2	2	6	0	0	9
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	18	2-7	0-2	3-3	2	3	1	0	7
Dylan Cardwell	Center	31	3-3	0-0	0-0	8	4	2	1	6
Chaney Johnson	Forward	15	1-3	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Chris Moore	Forward	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Ja'Heim Hudson	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jahki Howard	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

82.3Possessions82.3

113.0Offensive Efficiency110.6

110.6Defensive Efficiency113.0

2.4Net Efficiency-2.4

57.5%Effective FG%54.8%

59.3%True Shooting %56.1%

18.0%Turnover Rate11.1%

35.8%Free Throw Rate23.3%

32.8%3-Point Rate35.6%

1.20Assist / Turnover2.67

Game Summary

Alabama won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 82.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.