Duke

35-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

79.1%Duke

20.9%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL149.8

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -378

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDuke 79

Projected Total149.8

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 71

Team Comparison

DukeMetricNorth Carolina

81.7MMH Power Index65.2

122.2Offensive Efficiency115.5

95.2Defensive Efficiency103.8

27.0Net Efficiency11.7

7.8Strength of Schedule7.6

18.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

66.8Tempo69.0

56.9%Effective FG%54.6%

15.9%Turnover Rate13.9%

38.2%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

39.0%Free Throw Rate38.1%

18.0Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–65.2), offensive efficiency (122.2–115.5), defensive efficiency (95.2–103.8), net efficiency (27.0–11.7).

North Carolina COUNTERS WITHball security (13.9–15.9).

Final

Duke

82—69

North Carolina

Duke by 13 • 67.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DukeTEAM STATNorth Carolina

31-55FG25-64

56.0%FG%39.0%

9-193PT9-27

47.0%3PT%33.0%

11-13FT10-11

85.0%FT%91.0%

39Rebounds26

7Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists8

14Turnovers6

5Steals9

5Blocks2

14Fouls11

Player Box Score

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kon Knueppel	Guard	39	7-10	3-6	0-0	2	3	1	0	17
Sion James	Guard	35	6-8	0-0	4-5	8	1	3	0	16
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	29	6-10	2-4	2-3	2	0	0	0	16
Cooper Flagg	Forward	29	6-15	1-4	2-2	9	6	0	4	15
Maliq Brown	F	16	3-4	2-3	0-0	3	3	0	0	8
Mason Gillis	Forward	11	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Isaiah Evans	G	9	0-1	0-0	3-3	2	0	0	0	3
Khaman Maluach	Center	21	1-3	0-0	0-0	9	0	1	0	2
Caleb Foster	G	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	2
Patrick Ngongba II	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Davis	Guard	34	7-15	4-9	2-2	3	3	1	0	20
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	29	5-8	0-0	1-1	6	0	1	1	11
Ian Jackson	G	19	3-6	1-4	1-2	0	1	1	0	8
Drake Powell	Guard	35	2-6	1-4	2-2	2	0	1	0	7
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	26	3-10	1-5	0-0	4	1	0	0	7
Seth Trimble	G	26	1-9	1-3	4-4	4	1	2	0	7
Elliot Cadeau	G	20	3-9	1-2	0-0	2	2	3	1	7
Jalen Washington	C	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Ty Claude	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.7Possessions67.7

121.1Offensive Efficiency101.9

101.9Defensive Efficiency121.1

19.2Net Efficiency-19.2

64.5%Effective FG%46.1%

67.0%True Shooting %49.8%

20.5%Turnover Rate8.9%

23.6%Free Throw Rate17.2%

34.5%3-Point Rate42.2%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Duke won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 67.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.